NBA Pick: Total Value Play of the Day Thursday

LT Profits Sports Group

Thursday, March 20, 2014 4:00 AM GMT

Thursday, Mar. 20, 2014 4:00 AM GMT

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Thursday.

We could have a score-fest on our hands late on the West Coast Thursday night when the Milwaukee Bucks (13-55, 5-28 away) pay a visit to the Golden State Warriors (43-26, 22-11 home) at Oracle Arena in Oakland, CA at 10:35 ET.

The posted total at Bet365 is 206 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘over’ set at -110.

The Bucks still have the worst record in the NBA at 13-55, but there is an excellent chance that the Philadelphia 76ers will have that “honor” soon, not only because the Sixers are in a tailspin but also because Milwaukee has continued to play hard and some wins will certainly come. The Bucks already almost pulled a stunner in this West trip, leading the Portland Trail Blazers with four seconds left in regulation before falling 120-115 in overtime Tuesday.

The Warriors are battling injuries right now with Andre Iguodala and backup center Jermaine O’Neal out again for this game and center Andrew Bogut questionable, but they did not miss a beat with those three players out in a103-89 win over the Orlando Magic Tuesday and there is no reason to believe Golden State will not be able to score vs. a Milwaukee team allowing 103.0 points per game overall and a bloated average of 110.0 points over the last nine contests.

Golden State can overcome a lack of size with its three-point shooting, as the dynamic Warriors’ backcourt of Stephon Curry and Klay Thompson has made history by becoming the first duo of NBA teammates to ever combine for at least 400 made three-point shots in back-to-back seasons! That duo combined for 43 points while going a cumulative 7-for-11 from beyond the arc in the win over the Magic.

Both Golden State guards are over 41.0 percent for the season from three-point land, and the pair must be salivating at their prospects of going up against the worst three-point defense in the NBA in Milwaukee, which is allowing an alarming 38.6 percent success rate beyond the arc!

Lest you think the Warriors are strictly a perimeter team, think again as they still have All-Star David Lee up front, who after averaging a double-double last season is just shy of duplicating that feat this year, averaging 18.5 points and 9.4 rebounds. Lee leads the teams in field goal percentage at 52.1 percent with practically all of his points coming near the basket, which keeps defenses honest as it prevents them from sagging out to Curry and Thompson.

Now the Bucks remain just 28th in the NBA in scoring at 94.8 points per game, but they have picked up the pace quite nicely as of late while averaging 103.9 points over the last 14 games and topping the century mark nine times in those games and surpassing their current season average in 13 of them!

The Bucks have been a surprisingly good ‘over’ team all season at 38-30, but that was mainly because of poor defense until recently. Since Milwaukee has picked up the pace offensively, the ‘over’ is a sparkling 10-4 in those last 14 games.

Look for more of the same in Oakland as Milwaukee and Golden State go ‘over’ the total on Thursday.

[gameodds]5/259320/?r-1=43-238-92-349-192/us[/gameodds]

NBA Pick: Bucks, Warriors ‘over’ 206 (-110)

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