NBA Pick: Total Value Play of the Day Monday

LT Profits Sports Group

Monday, November 4, 2013 5:00 AM GMT

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Monday.

It could be a high scoring game when two young teams get together Monday night as the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-0, 1-0 away) pay a visit to the Cleveland Cavaliers (1-2, 1-0 home) at Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, OH at 7:05 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Spots is 196½ for this contest with the current odds on the ‘over’ set at -108.

The Timberwolves feel that they are playoff contenders when they are healthy, which was also the case last season when unfortunately they faltered when losing both All-Star Kevin Love and exciting point guard Ricky Rubio for long stretches. That duo is healthy as of now and the early returns are certainly promising.

The Cavaliers have not been as fortunate while going 1-2, but at least they are returning home after looking bad in their two road losses to the Indiana Pacers, which was understandable, and the Charlotte Bobcats, which was disappointing.

The Timberwolves are 3-0, and if you do not believe that this can be a dangerous team capable of sneaking a playoff spot this year, just ask the Oklahoma City Thunder and the New York Knicks, two playoffs teams from last season that Minnesota beat the last two games! The Timberwolves were able to run Kevin Durant and the Thunder off the floor in a 100-81 home win before going on the road and beating the Knicks 109-100 last night.

Besides Love and Rubio being healthy, the Timberwolves also added some firepower during the off-season in Kevin Martin and the end result has been averaging 109.7 points per game during their perfect start. Minnesota is playing at a fast tempo with Rubio running the point and Love running the floor at the same time, a luxury it did not have last year, as the Wolves have a pace rating of 99.9 possessions per game through three games.

They have also made a habit of getting off to fast starts, such as leading the Knicks 40-19 after one quarter last night, as they are averaging 37.3 points in the first quarter thus far.

The Cavaliers have shot the ball miserably in the early going at 38.2 percent, but they could improve returning home where they opened the season with a 98-94 upset of the Brooklyn Nets, especially if they get drawn into the Timberwolves’ pace. A key reason for the Cavs’ slow start offensively has been All-Star Kyrie Irving not really getting going yet despite leading the team in both scoring and assists, as he leads with only 15.3 points and seven assists.

The pace that Minnesota plays is actually a pace that the very quick Irving enjoys, so perhaps playing at a more up-and-down tempo is just what he needs to get his scoring back up, which at the same time would quick-start the Cleveland offense.

Thus, look for the Timberwolves to continue to score well like they have and for Irving and the Cavaliers to also pick up the pace in an attempt to keep up, resulting in an ‘over’ on Monday.

[gameodds]5/246830/?r-1=238-92-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

NBA Pick: Timberwolves, Cavaliers ‘over’ 196½ (-108)