Tired Teams Give ‘Under’ The Nod For Grizzlies-Thunder Matchup

Sunday, March 3, 2019 4:43 AM UTC

Sunday, Mar. 3, 2019 4:43 AM UTC

The Memphis Grizzlies and the Oklahoma City Thunder play each other on zero days of rest Sunday night. It’s a good spot to put the ‘under’ in your NBA picks.

<p style="text-align:right"><strong><em>Jason’s 2018-19 NBA picks record through Mar. 1:<br />16-14-1 ATS, 0-4 ML (minus-9.35 units), 18-9 Totals</em></strong></p><h2 style="text-align:center">Memphis (25-39 SU, 28-36 ATS) at Oklahoma City (38-24 SU, 33-29 ATS)</h2><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Sunday, 7 p.m. ET (NBA-TV)<br />Free NBA Pick: Under<br />Best Line Offered: BetOnline</strong></p><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3569973, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,169,999991,19,93], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>It’s often a good idea to put the "under" in your <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/" title="Free NBA Picks">NBA picks</a> when one of the teams is playing on zero days of rest. So it must be even better when both teams are dead-tired. That’s the situation we’ve got when <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/memphis-grizzlies-vs-oklahoma-city-thunder-3569973/odds/" title="Live Game Odds">the Memphis Grizzlies visit the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight</a>. The Grizzlies just beat the Dallas Mavericks 111-81 as 4.5-point road dogs, while the Thunder (+5 away) got smoked 116-102 by the San Antonio Spurs. The total for tonight's matchup didn't hit the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/" title="Live NBA Odds">NBA odds board</a> until this morning.</p><p> </p><h2>We The South</h2><p>In theory, the Grizzlies would make a pretty good pick against the spread. They traded Marc Gasol (plus-2.9 BPM) to the Toronto Raptors at the deadline, but they got two very good players back in Jonas Valanciunas (plus-1.6 BPM) and Delon Wright (plus-0.6 BPM). They also got C.J. Miles (minus-4.1 BPM), who’s having a bad season, but has played close to league-average over the past several years. Maybe being a new daddy has something to do with it.<br /><br />It may have been a sneaky-good trade for Memphis, but they’re only 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS since shipping Gasol to Toronto. Also, we should point out the "over" is 4-3-1 during that span. But we’re counting on the back-to-back scenario to help us out, and the Grizz have to make the trip from Dallas to Oklahoma City, too. All this constant travel is not easy on the body, folks.</p><p> </p><h2>Paul Is Dead</h2><p>We also may have been tempted to fade the Thunder in a normal situation. They’re just 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in their last six games, after making a long run up the Western Conference standings. However, the Zombie Sonics are in the same boat as the Zombie Grizzlies – they also have to make the trip to OKC, right after getting bounced in San Antonio. That game stayed "under" the total, making it four straight and seven out of their last eight.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Billy Donovan said he hasn’t been notified definitively, but “my guess” is Paul George won’t play Sunday, he said.&lt;/p&gt;— Michael C. Wright (@mikecwright) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/mikecwright/status/1102060070165250048?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;March 3, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>Note that Paul George (plus-5.4 OBPM, plus-0.8 DBPM) missed Saturday’s game for the Thunder with a sore right shoulder – that’s two games George has sat out now, but his injury isn’t considered serious, so his status for tonight was up in the air at press time. We can’t stress this enough: Wait for the morning shoot-around to see who’s available, then make an informed decision with your money. A bet is a terrible thing to waste.</p>
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