NBA Pick: Sacramento Kings, Philadelphia 76ers ‘under’ 197½

LT Profits Sports Group

Friday, February 1, 2013 5:00 AM GMT

The Philadelphia 76ers are ranked near the bottom of the NBA in scoring this season while the Sacramento Kings have had their offensive struggles lately. Go ‘under’ in Philadelphia Friday.

The total seems a tad inflated in what should be a relatively low scoring game on Friday night as the Sacramento Kings (17-30, 5-18 away) pay a visit to the Philadelphia 76ers (19-26, 13-11 home) at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA at 7:35 ET.

The posted total at Bookmaker Sportsbook is 197½ for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at -110.

The 76ers are coming off of a typically low scoring 92-84 win over the Washington Wizards on Wednesday in a game where they shot 42.1 percent from the field. Luckily, the Philadelphia defense came to play on this night, limit the Kings to 40.0 percent shooting.

The Sixers rank just 27th in the NBA in scoring this year despite the presence of a first time All-Star at point guard in Jrue Holiday, who has basically been a one-man show. Holliday has been great while averaging 19.4 points and 8.9 assists, but the rest of the lineup has been hugely inconsistent and Philadelphia again figures to be without Jason Richardson after he missed the last five games with a painfully inflamed knee joint.

Even when at full strength, the Sixers are always prone to scoring droughts because they play slow and are not very efficient. Philadelphia ranks 22nd in the NBA with a pace rating of 93.4 possessions per game and it is ranked 24th in offensive efficiency, which is not a combination conducive to a lot of scoring.

In point of fact, the Sixers are playing the same offensive style they played last season when they made the playoffs as the eighth seed, knocked out top-seeded Chicago with the help of Derrick Rose getting injured and then took the Celtics to seven games. The difference this season has been the slippage of the defense, but Wednesday marked the second time in three games that Philadelphia held its opponent to 40.0 percent shooting or less, so things are looking up.

The 76ers are allowing 93.4 points per game on 44.5 percent shooting over the last five games compared to allowing 96.8 points on 45.4 percent shooting over the entire season.

The Kings are coming off of an ugly 99-81 loss to the Rajon Rondo-less Celtics, as Boston improved to 2-0 since learning that its point guard has been lost for the season to a torn ACL. The Kings shot 39.2 percent in that contest, which has become a painfully common occurrence for the team that is ranked 22nd in the NBA in field goal percentage.

Sacramento has now reached 100 points just once in the last nine games, and that was vs. a New Orleans Hornets team that ranks 26th in the league in field goal percentage allowed.

Thus, look for both offenses to struggle and for these clubs to max out in the low 190s at the very most on Friday.
 
[gameodds]5/194559/93-238-19-92-1096/us[/gameodds]

NBA Pick: Kings, 76ers ‘under’ 197½ (-110)