NBA Pick: Sacramento Kings +13 over San Antonio Spurs

LT Profits Sports Group

Friday, April 12, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Friday, Apr. 12, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

The Kings have been very competitive in what could be their final days in Sacramento and they have picked up their play on the road. The Spurs are on a 3-11 ATS skid while resting players.

The spirited underdog looks to have nice value Friday night vs. the more talented favorite that has constantly been resting its stars as the Sacramento Kings (28-50, 8-30 away) pay a visit to the playoff-bound San Antonio Spurs (57-21, 34-5 home) at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX at 8:35 ET.

The point spread at Bookmaker Sportsbook has Sacramento as a nice double-digit underdog for this contest with the current line at +13 with odds of -110.

If the Kings are moving to Seattle next season as many expect, and least they are leaving Sacramento in style by giving their all in every game. In fact the Kings deserve a ton of credit as, at 28-50, it would have been very easy for them to pack their bags (literally) but instead, just this week alone, first they fought a Memphis Grizzlies team fighting for a three-seed down to the wire in an 89-87 loss and they then beat the New Orleans Hornets by double-digits.

Sacramento certainly has some fine young offensive talent in DeMarcus Cousins, Tyreke Evans and Isaiah Thomas, and when you add in Marcus Thornton and Jason Thompson, they have five players averaging at least 10.9 points and they actually rank 10th in the NBA in scoring at 100.2 points per game overall.

Now granted the Kings are 8-30 on the road compared to being a .500 team in Sacramento at 20-20, but they have even picked up their play away from home as of late. In fact, this is their first contest away from home since winning two road games on back-to-back nights on March 27th and 28th, beginning with a very nice win at Golden State and followed by a 14-point win in Phoenix.

That improvement has the Kings at 6-2 ATS in their last eight road affairs including three outright wins and covers vs. the Miami Heat in overtime during their 27-game win streak and the Denver Nuggets in a six-point loss vs. the team with the best home record in the NBA at 36-3. The only bad road loss during this streak came right here in San Antonio 130-102 on March 1st with Tony Parker and Tim Duncan both in the lineup, which the Kings would like to atone for.

Just as in past years, San Antonio Coach Gregg Popovich has made it obvious that he is more concerned with having his veteran stars ready for the playoffs than he is with seeding, and thus he has been resting players every game despite currently being one-half game behind the Oklahoma City Thunder for the best record in the Western Conference and tied in the loss column.

That strategy has actually made the Spurs some nice fades in recent weeks as San Antonio is now 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games following its 96-86 loss at Denver on Wednesday. Now there is word that Tony Parker might return tonight, but you can just about count on Popovich to hold out either Tim Duncan or a combination of other players to “make up” for Parker’s return if he does indeed suit up.

Two Spurs that are certainly out until the playoffs are Manu Ginobili (hamstring) and Boris Diaw (back), but expect a few more players to sit and look for a Sacramento cover on Friday.


NBA Pick: Kings +13 (-110)

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