NBA Pick on Pistons and Hornets to go ‘over’ the Total

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, February 10, 2015 6:34 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 10, 2015 6:34 PM UTC

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Tuesday.


In what has been a high-scoring head-to-head series in recent years, look for that trend to continue Tuesday night with another ‘over’ when the Detroit Pistons (20-32, 10-15 away) pay a visit to the Charlotte Hornets (22-29, 13-14 home) at Time Warner Cable Arena in Charlotte, NC at 7:05 ET in a game available on SportSouth.

The posted total at Pinnacle Sports is 192½ for this contest with the current odds on the ‘over’ set at -102.

Both Teams with Recent Backcourt Injuries
Both of these teams recently suffered injuries in the backcourt that should negatively affect their playoff chances. The Pistons got off to a 5-23 start this season when they made the bold move or releasing Josh Smith. They immediately responded with a 12-3 run, but then lost point guard Brandon Jennings for the season to a torn Achilles tendon vs. the Milwaukee Bucks on January 24th and have now leveled off to the 10th seed in the Eastern Conference.

The Bobcats meanwhile lost their leading scorer in guard Kemba Walker to a torn meniscus in his knee, but at least he should be back before the end season, probably in early March. And despite losing Walker on January 26th and being the losing NBA picks in their last two games, the Hornets are still tied for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference although they are just one game from being out of the playoffs, which is their margin over ninth seeded Brooklyn.

Pistons Still Putting up Points
The Pistons are still in the hunt at 2½ games out of the eight and final playoff spot, although it may be tough to make a run without Jennings, who led the teams in bother scoring (15.4 points per game) and assists (6.4) at the time he went down. With that being said, the offense has continued to perform well over the last five games with Greg Monroe now narrowly supplanting Jennings as the team’s high scorer at 15.5 points per game.

Detroit has tried to hang in the playoff race by going 3-2 in those last five games while averaging a potent 106.0 points, topping 100 points four times and scoring 98 in the other game vs. Denver. The Pistons are shooting an impressive 47.8 percent during this stretch, and besides the scoring of Monroe, center Andre Drummond has recorded five straight double-doubles, most recently scoring 17 points on a perfect 8-for-8 shooting and grabbing 14 rebounds on Sunday!

Jefferson Dominated Pistons Last Season
The Hornets come off of a brutal 103-102 loss to the Indiana Pacers Sunday where they blew a 21-point third-quarter lead. Thus Charlotte missed a golden opportunity to improve to 4-1 in the five games since losing Walker and that defeat also snapped a five-game home winning streak. Al Jefferson posted a monstrous line with 30 points and 13 rebounds and he was one of five Hornets to score in double-digits, but in the end it was not to be.

Speaking of Jefferson, he is probably looking forward to this first meeting of the season between these teams more than any other member of the Hornets. That is because he averaged 28.3 points and 11.3 rebounds in the three meetings between Charlotte and Detroit last season as the then Bobcats swept all three meetings while shooting above 50 percent from the floor on all three occasions.

Emphatic ‘over’ Trend in Series
Then again, not much defense has been played in this head-to-head series by either team in recent years. You see, all three meetings last season went ‘over’ with those games averaging a combined 213.3 points, and the ‘over’ is now 9-1 in the last 10 meetings overall with those encounters averaging a combined 205.6 points. Besides the lone ‘under’ in this span, the lowest point output in the nine ‘overs’ was 194 points and the second lowest was 203!

With the big men for each team continuing to make up for each club’s missing point guard, look for that ‘over’ pattern to continue for at least one more night when Detroit visits Charlotte on Tuesday.

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NBA Pick: Pistons, Hornets ‘over’ 192½ (-102)


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