NBA Pick: Orlando Magic +3½ over Charlotte Bobcats

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, March 27, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 27, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

In a battle between the teams with the two worst records in the NBA, the Bobcats do not deserve to be decided favorites over anyone, so take the points with the Magic in Charlotte.

The underdog usually has some inherent value when two very bad teams face each other, and such is the case Wednesday night when the underdog Orlando Magic (18-53, 8-26 away) pay a visit to the team with the worst record in the NBA in the Charlotte Bobcats (16-54, 10-25 home) at Time Warner Cable Arena in Charlotte, NC at 7:05 ET.

The point spread at Bookmaker Sportsbook has Orlando as a road underdog for this contest with the current line at +3½ with odds of -110.

These are actually the teams with the two worst records in the league and both teams are coming off of losses to Miami, with most recently the Heat winning their 27th game vs. the Magic 108-94 on Monday.

This is the type of matchup where neither team should be that much of a favorite over the other, and yet is the Bobcats who are giving the 3½ points despite statistically being the worse of these two awful teams.

Charlotte is simply not trustworthy in a favored role as it ranks 28th in the NBA in scoring with 93.1 points per game and dead last in field goal percentage at 41.9 percent offensively, as well as 29th in points allowed at 102.9 per game and an identical 29th in field goal percentage against at 47.1 percent defensively. To see how the Bobcats perform as a favorite, look no further than Saturday when the Detroit Pistons snapped a 10-game losing streak against Charlotte.

Yes the Bobcats had won two consecutive games before that Detroit loss, both here at home vs. the Toronto Raptors and Washington Wizards, but they were underdogs in both of those games and played much looser. Bad teams tend to tighten up when they are favored and actually expected to win, and that is what happened while blowing a seven-point fourth quarter lead to the Pistons. And Charlotte was only favored by one point in that game.

Now we get that the Magic have the second worst record in the NBA, they have actually lost to the Bobcats at home twice this season and they are injury depleted, but what we said about Charlotte not deserving to be favored by this much over anyone still stands.

The Magic actually gave a very spirited performance vs. the Heat on Monday despite being without Glen Davis, Arron Afflalo and Nikola Vucevic, as they led for much of the first half before a late barrage of Miami three-pointers put the Heat up by nine at halftime, and just when it looked like the Magic were dead and buried, they re-rallied from an 11-point deficit in the third quarter to tie the game at 68-68 late in the quarter before the Heat finally pulled away.

If Orlando can bring that same kind of energy to Charlotte, the Magic could easily win this game and avenge the two home losses to the Cats. In fact, the road team has won the first three head-to-head meeting this season with the Magic winning here 107-98 back in December.

Look for Orlando to make it 4-0 for the road teams in this series this season and take the points on Wednesday.


NBA Pick: Magic +3½ (-110)

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