NBA Prop: With Wilt Down, Will LeBron Pass MJ In Points By January 16?

Friday, November 16, 2018 2:56 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 16, 2018 2:56 PM UTC

That LeBron James guy? He’s pretty good. James is now fifth on the all-time NBA scoring list and you can bet a prop on when he passes some guy named Michael Jordan.

<p>We aren’t here to argue who the GOAT is: Michael Jordan or LeBron James. That’s because there is no argument: It’s Jordan. Not only did MJ go 6-0 in his NBA Finals career with the Bulls, they NEVER EVEN PLAYED A GAME 7! James, meanwhile, is 3-6 in his Finals career. Granted, LeBron’s teams were only favorites in two of those Finals: 2011 Heat over Mavericks (lost) and 2013 Heat over Spurs (won). LeBron’s Cavs teams were pretty meh.</p><p>FiveThirtyEight did an interesting statistical comparison between James and Jordan in terms of the Finals. When compiling LeBron’s pre-series odds of winning each Finals, he’s actually 0.2 titles above expectation. Jordan, though, won 1.9 times more titles than expected from the pre-series odds.</p><p>MJ will almost surely finish with more titles than James, but LeBron is going to pass Jordan on the NBA’s all-time points list fairly soon, and <a href=";book=content-mybookie" rel="nofollow">MyBookie has a prop on it.</a> On November 14 vs. Portland, LeBron passed Wilt Chamberlain for No. 5; “The Stilt” had 31,419 points. It should be noted that it took James 112 more games to reach that 31,419 total than Wilt did.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;The buckets that gave LeBron James the 5th-most points all time, passing Wilt Chamberlain. &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;November 15, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>Jordan is fourth at 32,292 points, and MyBookie gives an ‘over/under’ of LeBron passing MJ by January 16. That LeBron passes Jordan by that date is -140 and no is +100. If you are wondering, the Lakers don’t play that night, but they do host, ironically, the Bulls on January 15. As of this writing, if James were to average his current season average of 27.6 points, he’d pass Jordan on January 17 in Oklahoma City. Again, though, that presumes James plays every game to that point. Seems somewhat likely that LeBron gets perhaps one half of a back-to-back off by then.</p><p>MJ’s career scoring average was 30.1 points, an NBA high. He scored those 32,292 in 1,039 games and also took two years off in his prime to try baseball. If we say LeBron does it in 32 more games, he would have played 1,189.</p><p>Third on the scoring list is former Lakers great Kobe Bryant at 33,643. James, if we assume good health, wouldn’t catch Kobe until likely November of next season. Karl Malone is second with 36,928, and LeBron likely wouldn’t get there until the end of the 2020-21 season. And Kareem Abdul-Jabbar at 38,387? James would have to play to at least his 38<sup>th</sup> birthday and probably is looking at early in 2023.</p><p>We think LeBron passes Jordan on January 19 in Houston vs. good buddy Chris Paul.</p><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NBA Pick: No by January 16 (+100)</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=content-mybookie" rel="nofollow">MyBookie</a></h2>
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