NBA Pick for Nuggets vs. Warriors: Denver Covers +10.5 Point Spread as Golden State Rests Starters

David Lawrence

Wednesday, April 15, 2015 12:33 PM UTC

Wednesday, Apr. 15, 2015 12:33 PM UTC

Is there anything the Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors are playing for? Not really… which is why this is a difficult NBA betting situation.

The Denver Nuggets Can Win Because…
They are playing a team that has every reason in the world to rest its starters (but has not yet made a decision on the matter) which is why . Golden State showed it was ready for the playoffs on Monday night, building a 27-point lead over the Memphis Grizzlies before hanging on for a four-point win. The Warriors might have wanted to give their starters a full run and see where they stood before the playoffs began. This game against Denver does not offer the value of being against a fellow playoff contender. It definitely sets up as a game in which the Warriors have no real incentive to win. They would clearly be advised to play their lower-end backups and give them some extra court time before the playoffs start. If head coach Steve Kerr wants to see what he might be able to get from a ninth or tenth player in the playoffs, this is the night for him to get one last really good look. It would be a surprise if Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, and especially Andrew Bogut play more than 20 to 25 minutes.

This would naturally help a Denver team which led the Los Angeles Clippers by six points midway through the fourth quarter on Monday night in Los Angeles. The Nuggets received multiple great performances from their roster. Kenneth Faried scored 19 points and grabbed 17 rebounds, his 12th double-double in his last 21 games. Wilson Chandler scored 32 points, his high total for the season.

One last reason the Nuggets can win: Ty Lawson and Danilo Gallinari were given extra rest against the Clippers. They are expected to play here, and they should be physically prepared. 


The Golden State Warriors Can Win Because…
They have backup players who can beat Denver’s starters. Even if the Warriors do sit Curry, Thompson and Bogut, they can still get after opponents. David Lee, Marreese Speights, and Andre Iguodala would start for a lot of NBA teams. They’re joined by Leandro Barbosa and Festus Ezeli on the Warriors’ bench. With Harrison Barnes getting some minutes as a starter and Green perhaps pitching in with at least 15 minutes if not more, Golden State should still be able to put some solid lineups on the floor. Lee, Speights, Barbosa and Iguodala are all skilled offensive players. (Lee is a liability on defense, but not on offense.) Denver has a defense which has allowed an average of 116 points in the last six games. That’s something Golden State can exploit… even if it plays its backups. Warriors are a 10.5-point home favorite on NBA betting odds for tonight's encounter.


The Warriors don’t need to push themselves in this game. They just want to get ready for the playoffs. Does it really matter whether Golden State finishes the regular season with 66 or 67 wins? It really shouldn’t. Denver will want to win this game and play as hard as it can before its season ends. This suggests that you should take the Nuggets with the points on this NBA pick.

NBA Pick: Denver +10.5 at The Greek

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