NBA Pick: NBA Playoff Play of the Day Wednesday

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, April 30, 2014 4:00 AM UTC

Wednesday, Apr. 30, 2014 4:00 AM UTC

Every day during the NBA Playoffs, LT Profits Sports seeks that one single playoff play that has the best chance of cashing. Here is their Playoff Play of the Day Wednesday.

After a low scoring game in Brooklyn in Game 4, look for more of the same Wednesday night when those Brooklyn Nets (46-40, 16-26 away) pay a visit to the Toronto Raptors (50-36, 27-16 home) for Game 5 of their NBA Playoffs first round series from the Air Canada Centre in Toronto, ON Canada at 7:35 ET in a game televised nationally on NBA TV, with the series tied 2-2.

The posted total at Pinnacle Sports is 191 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at -103.

The Nets had initially taken home court advantage away from the Raptors by winning Game 1 in Toronto, which was not a total surprise considering that Brooklyn was the favorite on the NBA odds to win this series before it began, but the Raptors regained it with a suffocating defensive performance while winning Game 4, effectively now making this a 2-out-of- 3 series with two games north of the border.

The Nets were totally out of sync Sunday in an ugly 87-79 loss where the ageless Paul Pierce scored 22 points but Deron Williams was held to only 10. When the Nets do not shoot well, they do not score because the pace they play at is too slow to make up for inaccurate shooting.

And that brings us to our selection of the ‘under’ for this game. Sure the 166 total points scored in Game 4 was probably an anomaly that will not be duplicated, but nonetheless, the ‘under’ could easily be 4-0 on this series instead of its current 2-2.

You see the first game went safely ‘under’ as the Nets stole a 94-87 win in Canada, and then the next two games were headed toward ‘unders’ until some rather fluky fourth quarters. In Game 2, the Raptors scored 36 points in the final stanza, which is the most points they scored in any quarter over the entire season, either regular season or playoffs!

Then in Game 3, the ‘under’ appeared to be in hand with the Nets holding a 15-point lead with four minutes left when an improbable comeback by Toronto led to a parade to the free throw line over the last two minutes or so to put the game ‘over’.

Remember that while the Nets has one of the best records in the Eastern Conference over the second half of the season, they stayed true to their plodding tempo as they finished 25th in the NBA in pace rating, leading to Brooklyn finishing 21st in the NBA in points scored with 98.5 per game and 11th in points against at 99.5 per contest.

The Raptors did not get much national television exposure this season, and thus many people may not realize that Toronto is also a very good defensive team that ranked seventh in the league in points against at 98.0 per game and ninth in defensive efficiency.

It has been a bit more or a struggle for the Raptors offensively however, and that has apparently been compounded in this series with many of its players getting their first post-season experience. Even in victory in Game 4 on Sunday, the Raptors shot a woeful 41.3 percent from the field including going 6-for-23 (26.1 percent) from beyond the three-point arc.

Add this all up and look for yet another ‘under’ in Toronto in Game 5 on Wednesday.


NBA Pick: Nets, Raptors ‘under’ 191 (-103)

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