NBA Pick: NBA Playoff Play of the Day Sunday

LT Profits Sports Group

Sunday, June 15, 2014 4:00 AM GMT

Sunday, Jun. 15, 2014 4:00 AM GMT

Every day during the NBA Playoffs, LT Profits Sports seeks that one single playoff play that has the best chance of cashing. Here is their Playoff Play of the Day Sunday.

The NBA Finals could potentially be coming to an end Sunday night when the Miami Heat (67-34, 27-23 away) pay a visit to the San Antonio Spurs (77-27, 42-11 home) for Game 5 from the AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX at 8:05 ET in a game televised nationally on ABC with the Spurs now leading the series 3-1.

The point spread at Pinnacle Sports has San Antonio as a home favorite for this contest with the current line at -5½ with odds of -105.

Few experts thought San Antonio had a chance to win this series in five games before it began, yet here the Spurs are with a legitimate chance to do just that while returning home for Game 5 after two easy blowout wins on the road in Miami! The Spurs have already set NBA Playoff records in this series for shooting percentage in a quarter and for shooting percentage in a half, and they could now set a record for highest shooting percentage in an NBA Final!

San Antonio continued its unconscious shooting in Game 4 by shooting 57.1 percent overall and 42.9 percent beyond the three-point arc, which leaves the Spurs at an amazing 54.2 percent overall in this series, a figure that would shatter the all time NBA Finals record of 52.7 percent. And what makes the Spurs’ feat more remarkable is that fact that they have taken 92 three-point attempts in this series, hitting on a remarkable 46.7 percent of them.

The Spurs’ 107-86 drubbing of the Heat in Miami in Game 4 came on the heels of their 111-92 blowout win in Game 3 that was keyed by shooting a record 75.8 percent in the first half while piling up 71 points. Furthermore, the Spurs began that game by going 13-for-15, 86.7 percent in the first quarter for the second best shooting quarter in finals history, just missing the record they set in the fourth quarter of Game 1 when they shot 14-for-16, 87.5 percent!

The bottom line is that many so-called experts thought that the Heat seized control of this series when they gained home court advantage by taking Game 2 in San Antonio, and then when the Spurs quickly and emphatically regained home court with the Game 3 rout in Miami, many of those same experts expected the Heat to come back in Game 4 after such an embarrassing performance.

The fact that San Antonio basically repeated that demolition on the road again simply proves in our minds that the Spurs are the much better team in this series, especially when you consider the great record the Heat had had with LeBron James in playoff games off a loss, as Miami had always responded well in desperation spots.

Which brings up to Game 5, where we simply see no reason for anything to change, other than the Heat very possibly getting off to a much better early start with their season on the line. The Spurs have gotten basically whatever they wanted in this series with the exception of the fourth quarter of Game 2, when they atypically shot 6-for-17 from the field and Miami stole a 98-96 road win.

We could see some of that Miami defense early, but we expect the Spurs to wear the Heat down while playing at their usually phrenetic pace that has allowed them to either get easy looks at the basket vs. a Miami defense on its heels, or find wide open shooters beyond the three-point arc with the Heat scrambling to match up. Miami did not face offenses that play this fast in the Eastern Conference, and it has shown!

So the bottom line here is that while it may take longer for the Spurs to get going offensively vs. what should be a more determined Heat defense early on, San Antonio should eventually find its blazing rhythm and pull away to a safe win and cover and get crowned NBA Champions for the fifth time in franchise history at home on Sunday.

[gameodds]5/295579/?r-1=238-92-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

NBA Pick: Spurs -5½ (-105)

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