NBA Pick: NBA Playoff Play of the Day Sunday

LT Profits Sports Group

Sunday, May 11, 2014 4:00 AM GMT

Sunday, May. 11, 2014 4:00 AM GMT

Every day during the NBA Playoffs, LT Profits Sports seeks that one single playoff play that has the best chance of cashing. Here is their Playoff Play of the Day Sunday.

The second seeds reclaimed home court advantage in their Western Conference semifinal with a big road win in Game 3, and now it is the third seeded home team that figures to be in desperation mode Sunday when the Oklahoma City Thunder (65-27, 28-17 away) pay a visit to the Los Angeles Clippers (62-30, 37-9 home) for Game 4 from the Staples Center in Los Angeles, CA at 3:35 ET in a game televised nationally on ABC. The Thunder lead the series 2-1.

The point spread at Pinnacle Sports has Los Angeles as a home favorite for this contest with the current line at -5 with odds of -110.

After losing Game 1 of this series at home, the Thunder rose up in Game 3 here in Los Angeles by outscoring the Clippers 32-22 in the fourth quarter and shooting a whopping 55.7 percent for the game en route to a 118-112 triumph that allowed them to get back the home court advantage that they earned for this series by finishing two games ahead of the Clippers during the regular season.

Now, before these NBA conference semifinals began, we felt that this was the one series that had the best chance to go seven games, and we still feel that it will. For that to happen though, the Clippers have to now be the team to rise up and effectively save their season, and we expect them to do just that to even this series up.

You may recall that Los Angeles came out very aggressive in Game 1 of this series in Oklahoma City and ended up scoring 39 points in the first quarter en route to a 69-52 halftime lead and cruised to a 122-105 victory, and another fast start here at home with the Clippers’ season on the line would not be at all surprising.

The Clippers are a team that loves to run, but they have not been able to get their transition game going the last two games mainly because their defense has not made enough stops and they have been getting killed on the boards. You see, Oklahoma City preceded its light-out shooting performance Friday by also shooting 50.6 percent in Game 2 at home, and the Thunder have won the rebounding battle 96-69 over those last two games.

The Clips are more than capable of improving both of those aspects however, as they were in the top half of the league in rebounding in 14th with 43.0 per game, and although they allowed 101.0 points per game, Los Angeles actually finished fifth in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed at 44.1 percent and seventh in defensive efficiency, as a lot of the points that the Clips allowed were just a function of playing at such a fast pace.

Now of course the Thunder are capable of taking a 3-1 series stranglehold here, but Oklahoma City does not figure to play with the same sense of urgency that it showed in Game 3, or with the same urgency that the Clippers figure to display today.

And while the Thunder are an excellent shooting team that ranked fifth in the league in points per game at 106.2 and sixth in field goal percentage, the combined 53.0 percent they shot the last two games is still a bit extreme after shooting 47.1 percent for the season, so at least some regression is to be expected.

With all of this in mind, look for the Clippers to even up this series with their backs against the wall in fairly handy fashion at home in Los Angeles in Game 4 on Sunday.

[gameodds]5/286088/?r-1=238-92-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

NBA Pick: Clippers -5 (-110)

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