NBA Pick: Grizzlies Valuable Odds to Close Series Tonight Over Trail Blazers is a Must Bet

Joe Gavazzi

Monday, April 27, 2015 3:33 PM UTC

Monday, Apr. 27, 2015 3:33 PM UTC

Grizzlies lead this Playoffs Series against the Trail Blazers 3-0, will they upset tonight and sweep Portland? Check inside our betting preview with all the details and our NBA pick for Game 4.

Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trailblazers (-3) 10:35 ET TNT
This First Round series resumes for Game 4 in Portland with Memphis holding a commanding (3-0) series lead and with Portland some how as a 3-point home favorite on the NBA odds board. Along with 4 victories in the regular season against Portland, the Grizzlies are now 7-0 SU vs. the Blazers this season with every victory by 4 or more points.  That includes the 3 wins in the playoffs by margins of 14, 15 and 6 points. In Saturday night’s 3rd game, the Grizzlies won by a score of 115-109.  That defeat came to Portland despite Lillard scoring 22, Aldrich 21 and Batum 27.  Even with those players turning in peak performances, the Blazers were still not able to get over the hump.  A key player for each team will be missing in tonight’s game.  Portland continues to play without Matthews, who has missed action since March 6thwith an Achilles injury.  For Memphis, Mike Conley (facial) will be out indefinitely.  Each is a major loss to his respective team.

Dating to the end of the regular season, the Blazers are on a 7-game losing streak.  In fact, since the loss of Matthews on March 6th, Portland is just 10-15 SU.  They have failed to the number in all 7 of those recent losses. With the Saturday loss at the hands of Memphis, Portland is now 3-17 ATS L4+Y in playoff basketball. Simply stated, this is a team who is built for offensive success. But, when the crunch of playoff basketball comes around, and defense is of utmost importance, they are simply not able to answer the bell.  

Compare the recent Portland marks to those of Memphis.  The Grizzlies are 29-15 ATS L4+Y in the playoffs.  This team has long relied on the interior presence of Gasol and Randolph.  As well, their defense first mindset has been once again among the top defensive teams in the league this year.  Now that Golden St. has dispatched New Orleans in 4 games, it presents a degree of urgency for the Grizz to close out Portland and begin their next series against the Warriors.  Look for an outstanding effort by Beno Udrih, who has been filling in admirably for Conley, when the star guard was sidelined late in the season with an injured foot.

The basis of this handicap is a series dominator as underdog! The pointspread records in playoff basketball clearly support the notion that the Grizzlies are built for post-season success. In an underdog role, Memphis presents great value to close out this series so add Grizzlies to your NBA picks.

NBA Pick: Take Grizzlies at BookMaker

Can Trail Blazers Avoid Getting Swept by Grizzlies? Check this other SBR capper Free NBA Pick.

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