NBA Pick: Detroit Pistons +11 over New York Knicks

LT Profits Sports Group

Monday, February 4, 2013 5:00 AM GMT

The Pistons almost overcame an 18-point second half deficit to beat the Lakers while short handed Sunday, and they will have Ivan Calderon Monday. Take the points vs. the Knicks.

A nearly flawless performance last time out could have the home team overvalued Monday night when the Detroit Pistons (18-30, 5-17 away) pay a visit to those New York Knicks (30-15, 18-6 home) at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY at 7:35 ET.

The point spread at 5 Dimes has Detroit as a double-digit underdog for this contest with the current line at +11 with odds of -108.

This game will mark the Detroit debut of Ivan Calderon, who was acquired on Wednesday in the three-team trade that saw Rudy Gay go from the Memphis Grizzlies to the Toronto Raptors, Calderon coming to the Pistons from Toronto and Tayshaun Prince going from the Pistons to Memphis.

Calderon averaged 11.1 points and 7.4 assists with the Raptors and he is expected to slide right into the starting point guard spot. He now helps form a fairly potent starting backcourt with shooting guard Brandon Knight (13.9 points per game) and he is a better distributor than Rodney Stuckey, who started while Calderon’s debut was delayed due to the Spaniard’s visa problems.

Stuckey started the last three games since Prince was traded away, and he will now provide quality depth at the guard position along with Will Bynum, who has been the Pistons’ super sub! It was Bynum who provided 18 points and 10 assists off the bench Sunday as Detroit came back from an 18-point deficit in the third quarter to fall just short in a 98-97 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Pistons have been a pesky club this season while going 11-11 ATS on the road despite wining only five of those games straight up and the addition of Calderon should make them even more competitive. Also note that the game vs. the Lakers was an early afternoon game, so that should negate the playing the second game of a back-to-back factor.

The Knicks have been feasting on a cupcake schedule here at home as of late, and they played practically a perfect game on Saturday while annihilating the Sacramento Kings 120-81, but perhaps that effort was too perfect?

You see, the Knicks shot 54.7 percent from the field, they made 19 three-pointers in the game and they got 82 points off the bench. And speaking of perfection, Amar'e Stoudemire shot 10-for-10 from the field in his best game of the season, which got off to a belated start due to a knee injury.

The problem we see here is that teams that play a nearly flawless game like that often ”bounce” in their next game and it is probably safe to say that none of those things will get repeated again tonight. Besides, the Knicks do not always get up to play the lesser teams in the league here at MSG, as even with that rout of the Kings Saturday, New York is still only 3-7 ATS in its last 10 home games vs. teams with losing road records.

Combine that with some natural regression following an unrealistically great game and the expected improvement of the Pistons with the addition of Calderon after a near-miss vs. the Lakers without him and Detroit is worth a tumble as a double-digit dog on Monday.
 
[gameodds]5/217150/19-238-93-92-1096/us[/gameodds]

NBA Pick: Pistons +11 (-108)