NBA Pick: Detroit Pistons +10½ over Portland Trail Blazers

LT Profits Sports Group

Saturday, March 16, 2013 4:00 AM GMT

Saturday, Mar. 16, 2013 4:00 AM GMT

The Pistons have lost seven straight games, but they were able to hang with a good Warriors offense in their last game and the Trail Blazers are too erratic to be giving double-digits.

The double-digit favorite looks like a bit of an overlay Saturday night when the Detroit Pistons (23-44, 8-24 away) pay a visit to the Portland Trail Blazers (30-34, 21-11 home) at the Rose Garden in Portland, OR at 10:05 ET.

The point spread at 5 Dimes has Detroit as a big underdog for this contest with the current line at +10½ with odds of -105.

The Pistons have had two days off since losing their seventh straight game in Golden State on Wednesday, and tonight marks the final game of a four-game road trip through the Western Conference before flying home to Detroit to host the Brooklyn Nets on Monday.

Detroit did not play badly though vs. the Warriors while covering the spread in a covering eight-point loss where the teams were tied at halftime and the Pistons still trailed by only three points in the fourth quarter. The difference in the game however was the Warriors, who lead the NBA in three-point shooting, hitting 44.4 percent from beyond the arc.

That outing was a marked improvement over the first two games of this road trip, where the Pistons were routed by both the Los Angeles Clippers and the Utah Jazz. Keep in mind also that Detroit upset Portland 108-101 at home the first time this clubs met this season, when the Pistons were able to shoot 52.5 percent on an often lax Portland defense.

The Pistons are also trying to avoid their first eight-game losing streak since beginning this season 0-8.

The Trail Blazers are coming off of a nice 105-90 win over the New York Knicks on Thursday, but we are not convinced that this team can be trusted as a double-digit favorite. After all, Portland is still four games under .500 and getting outscored by an average of -1.6 points overall this season.

While the Blazers are a good 21-11 at home, they are not dominant at home like they used to be when it would take them practically two years to lose 11 games in the Rose Garden, and their average winning margin at home is just +3.3 points this season. It has not helped that the Portland defense has kept even inferior teams in games, ranking 19th in points against at 99.7 per game and 25th in field goal percentage allowed.

Finally, while the Western Conference is the stronger of the two conferences as a whole, Portland is somewhat surprisingly 11-12 straight up and 10-13 ATS vs. the East this season, even losing outright here at home to the likes of Cleveland and Washington.

With all of that in mind, take the big points with the Pistons on Saturday.

[gameodds]5/221545/19-238-93-92-1096/us[/gameodds]

NBA Pick: Pistons +10½ (-105)

comment here