NBA Pick: Can the Spurs Stay Red-Hot & Cover Tonight's Spread Over Heat?

Joe Gavazzi

Tuesday, March 31, 2015 3:05 PM GMT

East meets West tonight in Miami as Spurs visit an undermanned Heat. It's a 2014 NBA Finals rematch, and San Antonio is a 7-point favorite on NBA odds. But will they cover tonight's spread? 

San Antonio Spurs (-7) at Miami Heat 8:05 ET TNT
San Antonio Spurs travel to Miami for this 8:05 ET tip on TNT tonight and Spurs are a 7-point road favorite on the NBA betting odds board. It's a rematch of the 2014 NBA Finals, won of course by San Antonio.  These two met earlier this season with the Spurs winning 98-85 at home as 12 point favorite.  That victory means that San Antonio is now 5-2 SU ATS in this series in the last 2 seasons with their victories coming by margins of 13, 24, 15, 19, 21 and 17 points.  Considering the injury situation in this game and the history of victory margins, I have no concern about today’s impost.

Unlike last season, when Miami was preparing to defend their NBA title, the Heat is now struggling for survival and inclusion in the Eastern Conference Playoffs.  Mercifully, they do play in the East for they would be far from qualifying for the playoffs if they were in the West.  Currently, Miami holds a 1 ½ game lead, as no fewer than 5 teams are battling for the 7th and 8th spots in the East.  To their credit, their 18-18 SU home record includes wins and covers in each of their most recent 5 home games.  Tonight, however, they are faced with some major injury problems.  Bosh, of course, is out for the season.  Dwayne Wade has stepped up his performance down the stretch, averaging 25 PPG on over 50% shooting, leading the Heat to a 6-4 SU record their L10 games.  However, no fewer than 4 other key contributors are questionable for this game due to a variety of injury and health issues.  Those players include Whiteside, Deng, Andersen and Beasley.  Without all of those contributors in the lineup, it is unlikely Miami will be competitive in this.

To the surprise of few, veteran San Antonio HC Popovich has his Spurs peaking at the right time.  With all hands on deck and 2 days’ rest, following their 14 point win over Memphis on Sunday, it is probable that none of the Spurs get a night off.  As San Antonio continues to defend their crown, they stand 47-26 SU in 6th place in the Western Conference standings.  Most notable, however, is that just 2 games in the loss column separate the Spurs from 2nd place Memphis.  With key players, Parker and Leonard, at full health, it is not likely the Spurs show mercy on a team they have dominated in 5 victories the previous 2 years. Add the Spurs to you Tuesday NBA picks.

NBA Pick: Spurs at BetOnline