NBA Pick: Brooklyn Nets, Charlotte Bobcats ‘over’ 191

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, March 6, 2013 5:00 AM GMT

The Nets are expected to employ a bigger lineup more to help increase their scoring while the Bobcats allow over 103 points per game overall and their home games average 198 points.

In what could be a higher scoring game than the low posted total would lead many to believe on Wednesday night, the Brooklyn Nets (34-26, 14-13 away) pay a visit to the Charlotte Bobcats (13-47, 7-22 home) at Time Warner Cable Arena in Charlotte, NC at 7:05 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Sports is 191 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘over’ set at a positive +100.

The Nets have now lost four of their last five contests after dropping a 96-85 decision to the Bulls on Saturday, and the are averaging only 88.8 points over the five games. However, the three days off since their last game has allowed the Nets to work on some new things offensively and Coach P.J. Carlesimo stated that he will go to a bigger offense with two centers playing simultaneously to help increase the scoring.

The Nets have been starting Reggie Evans at the power forward spot because he is a fierce rebounder averaging 9.3 boards over the entire season, but he is a liability offensively averaging a measly 3.4 points, including going scoreless in each of his last three games.

To that end, Carlesimo said to expect more of backup center Andray Blatche at the power forward spot in place of Evans. Blatche is averaging a good 10.0 points while playing only about 18 minutes per game to this point, and he will be playing alongside All-Star center Brook Lopez instead of spelling him as he usually does.

With defenses now forced to sag inside a bit and respect Blatche’s scoring ability, it should free up Deron Williams and the other Brooklyn scorers to do some damage from the perimeter, which they were doing with regularity in the first couple of weeks that Carlesimo replaced the fired former coach Avery Johnson on an interim basis.

Plus let’s face it, you will not find many better defenses to get well against than when facing the Bobcats!

Charlotte got off to a surprising 7-5 start this season, but the Bobcats have gone 6-42 since then and they are returning home from an 0-4 road trip where they allowed 111.3 points per game while getting outscored by an average of 26.3 points.

The Cats rank an identical 28th out of 30 NBA teams in points allowed at 103.3 per game, field goal percentage against at 46.9 percent a and three-point defense at 38.3 percent, and that shoddy defense is the key reason why Charlotte home games are averaging 198.4 points this season, about seven points higher than this posted total.

It also helps that the Charlotte offense is averaging 95.8 points at home, and while that does not sound like much, consider that it is five full points better than the Bobcats’ 90.8-point scoring average on the road.

With all of this in mind, look for this contest to sneak ‘over’ the relatively low total on Wednesday.

[gameodds]5/220368/238-19-93-92-1096/us[/gameodds]

NBA Pick: Nets, Bobcats ‘over’ 191 (+100)