We’ve got some nice matchups on today’s NBA schedule and I’ve got my eye on a moneyline parlay involving two of the Texas teams. The NBA lines available for today have me taking the Mavs to bounce back while I believe the Rockets keep rolling.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings
Tuesday, August 4, 2020 – 2:30 PM EDT at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex in Kissimmee, FL
Expect Dallas to Bounce Back Today
Although the Mavs have gotten off to a slow start, I believe that this is a big time bounce back spot for them. Looking ahead to their upcoming schedule, the next two games after this contest against Sacramento will be brutal. They face the Clippers on Thursday before taking on the Bucks on Saturday. Before the seeding games, the Mavs had the opportunity to move up in the standing but unfortunately for them, the teams they are chasing have all picked up wins. The difference between finishing 7th (their current position) and 6th is the difference between playing the Clippers in the first round and playing Denver. Not that the Nuggets are a cakewalk but clearly the Mavs have a much better chance of making the conference semi finals if they can avoid the Clippers.
In the meantime, Dallas just needs to focus on getting better. Luckily their two stars have been performing just fine so far. Luka Doncic is averaging 34 points, 10.5 rebounds and 10.5 assists. Kristaps Porzingis is averaging a healthy 34.5 points, 12 rebounds and 2.5 blocks per game. The problem for Dallas at the moment is their supporting cast has been way below par. I expect that to change today against the Kings who have looked pretty bad defensively. It's easy to say that I can see Doncic or Porzingis having big games but the Mavs are truly at their best when their role players all hover around the double digit mark. If they can get those guys rolling, they should be fine heading into the playoffs. Over at BookMaker, the Mavs are available on the moneyline at -240.
Houston Rockets vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Tuesday, August 4, 2020 – 9:00 PM EDT at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex in Kissimmee, FL
Rockets Are Rolling Right Now
When the Rockets have it going, they're a tough team to beat. They have two of the most dynamic scorers in the league in James Harden and Russell Westbrook but the supporting cast should not be taken for granted. Their small ball lineup has seen them go toe to toe with two of the league's best offenses in their first two games and Portland better bring their "A game" if they plan on keeping up. I rarely bet on Houston but in this specific spot, I don't see how Portland's personnel can keep up. Nurkic might have an obvious advantage on offense where he can post up all day. Defensively however, he will be reduced to standing on the perimeter where he will likely be rendered useless. In fact, how is Portland going to get most of their front court players on the floor in this situation? This seems like a horrible matchup for the Blazers. If the Blazers go big they will literally get run off the floor. If they go small, I'm not even sure what that lineup would look like.
The other problem for the Blazers is they really only go 8 deep and 3 of those players are big men. We could legit see Carmelo Anthony play the five spot in this game. That brings me to the other reason that I like Houston in this game. The Blazers guards are not known for playing much defense and I don't see how they can possibly slow down either Harden or Westbrook. We know Damian Lillard doesn't fear Russ which he made obvious to the world the last time they met in the playoffs. That was a different team though and Westbrook looks very comfortable in Mike D'Antoni's system at the moment. Don't underestimate Westbrook's motivation when playing Dame and the Blazers. Over on the SBR odds page, BookMaker has Houston at -180 on the moneyline.
2 Team Moneyline Parlay: Dallas -240 and Houston -180, Pays +120 at Bookmaker