NBA Over/Under Picks from a Handicapper on a Winning Streak

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, March 4, 2015 3:19 PM GMT

We've been nailing our NBA Over/Under Picks as of late. Let's see if we can ride the momentum on Wednesday which contains a full slate of games. Time to place the bets and beat the books.

New York Knicks (12-47) vs. Indiana Pacers (25-34) 

Phil's Plan Needs Adjusting
After watching the New York Knicks play the Sacramento Kings and seeing the score 92-49  in favor fof the Kings at one point in the game, I came to the realization that the New York Knicks are just an awful basketball team and really need the #1 draft pick in the NBA Draft. Rudy Gay was getting wide open looks and after one of his many timeouts called, head coach, Derek Fisher, looked as if he were speechless with no motivation to offer.

You would think wide open looks could lead to a possible over, but that's not where I'm going with the Knicks and the Pacers. Indiana is coming off of a 94-74 victory over the Philadelphia 76'ers and I think that we might see something similar in this game. Indiana has gotten most of their starters back in the lineup and are just a 1/2 game behind he Brooklyn Nets for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Paul George is expected back shortly and Indy might be able to turn this season around. A game like this is about getting a big lead for the Pacers and getting the starters out of the game and keeping them healthy. If the Pacers do happen to get the big lead, this will lead to an under.

 

Where is the Offense Coming From?
When Langston Galloway, a player that the Knicks picked up from the D-League and offered him a contract, is their best shooter, you know that this team is in for a long night.

Tim Hardaway Jr. has been a major disappointment this season as he was one of the pieces to the puzzle that Phil Jackson was expecting to play well. Instead, Hardaway Jr., has been really inconsistent and his defense has been horrible. New York has had to rely on Jason Smith and if you're going to do that, you're going to lose.

The Pacers have been scoring without a definitive superstar, but players like Rodney Stuckey and C.J. Miles have given the Pacers a nice boost and have kept them competitive. The bench for Indiana should see a lot of "PT" tonight in this low scoring affair.

NBA Pick- Under 188.5 at BookMaker

 

Cleveland Cavaliers (38-24) vs. Toronto Raptors (38-22)

LBJ Seeking the NBA MVP Award
Lebron James has said all of the right things, but it's clear to me that he's seeking the MVP Award by taking matters into his own hands more than he normally does. It has resulted into blowout victories like we saw last night as the Cavs destroyed the Celtics and their starters didn't even see the 4th quarter. Lebron could have a little catching up to do as James Harden is having a monster season.

The total in this game is very easy to figure out. When Cleveland plays inferior or below average opponents, the game is going to go under due to the blowout factor. When they play a team such as Toronto, who is 2nd in the Eastern Conference, the game will be more competitive with offensive options such as DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry if he's healthy and the game will go over the total as the starters will be in for the entire game.

Cleveland has been so good that odds makers have sort of disrespected the Raptors, making them a 5 point underdog at home. That seems like a lot of points, but in this article, we're focusing on the betting total. Look for more of what we've been seeing from the Cavaliers in the form of a lot of points being scored with their "Big 3" and J.R. Smith and the Raptors will be competitive enough to go over the total, which was placed low at 201. Bet over the NBA odds in this spot.

NBA Pick- Over 201