NBA Odds: Warriors Will Not Lose Second Straight, Go Over vs. Blazers

Matthew Jordan

Sunday, April 3, 2016 1:00 PM GMT

Sunday, Apr. 3, 2016 1:00 PM GMT

As good as the Warriors are, they will remember every loss this season. And their worst was in Portland. So expect the Warriors to use that as motivation against the Blazers. Golden State is -12 on NBA odds with a total of 223.5.

Blazers Want No. 5 Seed
Portland (41-36) is currently sixth in the Western Conference. It's a half game behind Memphis for the No. 5 seed. So that means either a matchup with the Los Angeles Clippers (if the No. 5 seed) in the first round of the playoffs or Oklahoma City Thunder (if the No. 6). I would prefer to face the Clippers but that's just me. I doubt the Blazers can win a series against either. Star Damian Lillard has admitted the team wants the No. 5 seed.

The Trail Blazers won a fourth straight game on Saturday, 110-93 over visiting Miami. C.J. McCollum, who might win the NBA's Most Improved Player award,  had 24 points and was 6-for-6 from 3-point range. Mason Plumlee added 17 points, eight rebounds, and five assists. The Blazers shot 51 percent and hit 10-for-16 from long range. Portland has  made 808 3-pointers on the season, setting a franchise record. They had had an 18-4 edge in fast break points vs. the Heat. It obviously helped that the Heat were without Dwyane Wade. Portland finishes the season without big man Meyers Leonard, who recently had shoulder surgery. He averaged 8.4 points and 5.1 rebounds per game.

The Trail Blazers are 43-34 against the spread on NBA odds this season and 42-35 'over/under.'

 

Warriors Still Likely To Break Mark
No team in NBA history has ever gone a full season without losing at least two games in a row. That's on the line here as Golden State (68-8) was shocked Friday at home by Boston, 109-106. The Celtics nearly beat the Warriors in Boston in December, but I gave them little chance Friday as they were on the second of a back-to-back losing Thursday night in Portland. Plus the Celtics played Golden State without Jae Crowder. The Warriors had won an NBA-record 54 straight regular-season home games. Steph Curry had a chance to tie the game  but missed a long 3-pointer with 5.3  seconds to go. He had 29 points but needed 19 shots to do so and had nine turnovers.

Now the Warriors must win five of their final six games to break the 1995-96 Bulls' record of 72 wins. That still looks pretty doable. After this game: vs. Minnesota, vs. San Antonio, at Memphis  (totally injury-ravaged), at San Antonio (maybe a loss if Spurs play all their guys) and home to Memphis.

Golden State coach Steve Kerr has been on the record saying his team wants to break that record but admitted after Friday's loss that it might be taking a toll on his team.

"I think they want the [wins] record," Kerr said. "But I think what they probably realize is maybe all the talk and all the focus on the record has gotten us away from the process of who we are."

The Warriors are 41-33-2 ATS on NBA picks this season and 41-34-1 O/U.              

 

Season Series
Warriors lead 2-1. On Jan. 8 in the Pacific Northwest, the Warriors were -9.5 at sportsbooks (total of 213.5) and won 128-108. Klay Thompson had 36 points, Curry 26 points and Draymond Green a triple-double of 11 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists. Lillard had 40 points and 10 assists. On Feb. 19 also in Portland, the Blazers were 8-point underdogs (total of 224.5) and spanked Golden State 137-105 in both teams' first game after the All-Star break. Lillard was fantastic with a career-high 51 points to go with seven assists, six steals and not a single turnover. Curry had 31 points as the Warriors' 11-game winning streak ended. It was worst loss by a defending NBA champion since the Heat lost by 42 to the Bulls on opening night in the 2006-07 season. On March 11 in Oakland, the Warriors were -13.5 (total of 228) and won 128-112. Thompson had 37 points and Curry 34. The teams combined for an NBA-record 37 made 3-pointers on a whopping 76 attempts. Portland is 5-18 in its past 23 trips to Oakland, which is where Lillard grew up.

I have a feeling that loss Friday got the players' attention. Give the points and couldn't love the 'over' more. It has hit in the past five meetings. Portland is just 7-19 ATS in the past 26 meetings. 

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Free NBA Pick:  Warriors -9½ & Over 213½
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker and Pinnacle

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