NBA Odds: Spurs Could Rest Guys In Back-To-Back, So Lean Mavericks At Home

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, November 30, 2016 2:22 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 30, 2016 2:22 PM UTC

While the Golden State Warriors hog the spotlight, the San Antonio Spurs generally just keep winning quietly. But they look to avoid a second straight loss Wednesday at a terrible Mavericks team. The Spurs are -9 on NBA odds with a total of 190.

Will All Spurs Play?

The Spurs (14-4) are much better than the Dallas Mavericks. That's not even up for discussion. But if you follow the NBA and the Spurs in particular, you surely know that San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich could care less about the regular season. He rests his key guys all the time and especially in one end of a back-to-back -- which end sometimes is determined by where the games played. He usually plays his guys in front of the home fans.

Thus you have to be a bit wary Wednesday night in Big D after San Antonio was stunned at home by Orlando on Tuesday, 95-83 to end a nine-game winning streak. What's going on with the Spurs at home? They tied an NBA record by going 40-1 there last regular season and are now just 4-4 at home this year compared to 10-0 on the road. San Antonio had a season-high 19 turnovers against the Magic in scoring a season low in points. Tony Parker and Danny Green combined to shoot 1-for-10 with five turnovers and four points.

San Antonio has won six straight over Dallas. The Spurs hosted the Mavs on Nov. 21 and won 96-91. Kawhi Leonard had 24 points and nine rebounds. San Antonio starters LaMarcus Aldridge and Parker both were in uniform but were rested. It was the seventh time in the past nine meetings the total went 'under.' The Spurs are 9-8-1 ATS on NBA odds this year and 11-7 O/U.


Mavs Are NBA's Worst Team

Dallas (3-13) has finished with a winning record every year since 1999-2000, but that streak is clearly going to end this year as the Mavs are the league's worst team. Injuries have certainly played a role, especially to the best player in franchise history and a lock first-ballot Hall of Famer in Dirk Nowitzki. The German, as of now the best foreign-born player in NBA history, has played in just five games this year due to an Achilles issue and is averaging only 12.2 points on a career-low 35.8 percent shooting. One has to think this is the last year for the 38-year-old.

Dirk won't play Wednesday, either. Dorian Finney-Smith should start again for him. Backup point guard Devin Harris  is questionable for Wednesday with a toe injury but he's getting close. Starting point guard Deron Williams is probable with an ankle. He has missed several games this year as well.

The Mavericks do come off a win, 91-81 over visiting New Orleans on Sunday to end an eight-game losing streak. Wesley Matthews led a comeback with 12 of his 21 points in the fourth quarter. Harrison Barnes had 23 to lead Dallas. The former Warrior has been a pleasant surprise this year, leading the club in scoring at 20.8 points per game.  Andrew Bogut pulled down a game-high 14 rebounds vs. the Pelicans. He also is a former Warrior. Barnes and Bogut were jettisoned by Golden State when it signed Kevin Durant.

Dallas is 5-11 ATS on NBA picks this season and 7-9 O/U. The Mavs have failed to cover their past eight at home vs. teams with a winning road record. I'm going to take the points here as I don't think every key Spur plays.

NBA Free Pick: Dallas +9 & 'Under' 190Best Line Offered: BookMaker

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3068357, "sportsbooksIds":[93,19,169,1096,238], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]


comment here