Title hopes slipping away?
I have never been too bullish on Indiana’s title chances, and while I’m not discounting how good they are by any means, I also realize that a four game losing streak rarely happens to a title contender. Indiana’s defense has been their downfall in this recent slump, and I don’t know if they can break out of it tonight against the Celtics.
Even though three of those games were on the road, none of them were on a back to back, and all four of the games were winnable. The Pacers’ task of stopping some of the guys on Boston won’t be easy tonight, but I do think it will help them on the offensive end. The Celtics’ defense has been bad on almost every night for the last two months, and I think the Pacers will be able to score plenty of points tonight.
Celtics’ road woes
Boston’s downfall has been their play at home this season, and while the road is not easy for every team, it has been especially hard on Boston. The Celtics are a winning team ATS on the road at 16-13-1 ATS, however SU they have been bad. Boston is 3-15 SU in their last 18 road games, and a big reason has been their road defense.
The Celtics have given up 101 points per game on the road this season, and if the Pacers have a floor of 100 points tonight, the total should once again go over. This will be the third time these two have played one another this year, and Indiana has had little trouble scoring on the Celtics in those three previous games.
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The Sharp Pick
While the Pacers losing four straight is not the end of the world, what’s even more surprising than losing four straight is that they have given up an average of 106 points per game in those four games. This is a team that on the season was giving up low 90s to everyone. Three of the four were to West opponents, but even in inter-conference games, the Pacers’ defense was only giving up around 96 per contest.
My Pick: OVER 193 ½