Raptors, Thunder Bogart All The Value In NBA Futures

Monday, February 18, 2019 6:46 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 18, 2019 6:46 PM UTC

Both the Toronto Raptors and Oklahoma City Thunder are beefing up for the playoffs. From a value standpoint, they’re the best NBA picks to win the title.

<p style="text-align:right;"><strong><em>Jason’s 2018-19 NBA picks record: 12-11 ATS, 0-2 ML (minus-4.35 units), 17-7 Totals</em></strong></p><p>Here we are at the All-Star break, and it’s pretty much as everyone outside the Bay Area feared: The Golden State Warriors will probably win their fourth championship in five years. They’re overwhelming –230 favorites on the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/" title="Live NBA Odds">NBA odds</a> board at <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4450&amp;book=BOVADA" target="_blank" title="Top-Rated Sportsbook">Bovada,</a> going 10-1 SU and 5-6 ATS since DeMarcus Cousins made his Dubs debut. Hey, at least they won’t be playing the Cleveland Cavaliers this time.<br /><br />The Warriors (41-16 SU, 24-32-1 ATS) may have the best starting five in all of time and space, but when it comes to this year’s title, they don’t belong in your <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/" title="Check Our NBA Picks">NBA picks</a>. According to the fine folks at FiveThirtyEight, Golden State has a 60-percent chance of winning, which “only” works out to –150 using the glorious <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/tools/odds-converter/" title="Odds Converter">SBR Odds Converter</a>. So forget about these chumps, and consider laying some wood on these two value picks:</p><h2><strong>Toronto Raptors (+750)</strong></h2><p>Everything is going according to plan Up North. The Raptors (43-16 SU, 26-33 ATS) have one of the best records in the league despite taking the regular season for what it is: a warm-up for the playoffs. Kawhi Leonard (plus-5.3 BPM) has gotten stronger with each passing week, while missing 16 games thus far for maintenance and repair. Pascal Siakam (plus-3.5 BPM) has played at an All-Star level in his third year as a pro. Kyle Lowry (plus-3.0 BPM) made his fifth straight All-Star Game for Toronto.<br /><br />Then GM Masai Ujiri dropped the hammer. He sent Jonas Valanciunas (plus-1.3 BPM), Delon Wright (plus-1.1 BPM) and C.J. Miles (minus-3.4 BPM) to the Memphis Grizzlies last week in exchange for Marc Gasol (plus-3.0 BPM). It’s a risky deal, sending out two valuable young players for the 34-year old Gasol. But it definitely gives Toronto a better chance of winning the title, and Ujiri has replenished the Bench Mob by signing Jeremy Lin (minus-2.2 BPM), a quality offensive playmaker who can handle both guard positions – and has already shown some chemistry working with Lowry. FiveThirtyEight gives Toronto a 14-percent chance of winning their first title, which works out to +614 for a vig-free equivalent in American odds.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "\n&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Markieff Morris is reportedly signing with the Thunder. (Via &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/ShamsCharania?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@ShamsCharania&lt;/a&gt;) &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/pPozpAQXiz\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/pPozpAQXiz&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— NBA on TNT (@NBAonTNT) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/NBAonTNT/status/1096172044818018305?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;February 14, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><h2><strong>Oklahoma City Thunder (+1600)</strong></h2><p><br />If you’re looking for a bigger payout with your futures bet, Oklahoma City (37-20 SU, 33-24 ATS) is your huckleberry. Their chances of winning are pegged at 8 percent, or +1150 using the Odds Converter. Paul George (plus-6.4 BPM) has played remarkably well, and Russell Westbrook (plus-5.9 BPM) has wisely cut down on his shot attempts lately, allowing George to flourish. Depth remains a concern in OKC, but there’s still plenty of time to scoop up someone off the waiver wire – someone like Markieff Morris (minus-2.1 BPM), who’s expected to join the club this week. The rich get richer, folks.</p>
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