Anything goes in this winner take all affair, and with that in mind, we can cash some winning NBA Picks with the right prop bets for Game 7 on the NBA Finals here on Sunday.
Kyrie Irving O/U 27.5 points
Kyrie Irving has been up and down in the NBA Finals so far this season. His three excellent games of at least 30 points are sandwiched in between three games where he did not shoot well at all. Two of those games were in Golden State to start the series, and after tearing up Golden State for three games, Game 6 saw Irving take a step back.
Now in Game 7, the Warriors have to come with a better defensive game plan to slow down Cleveland, and I think their methods are going to be to slow down Irving. Lebron James is going to get his points whether you want him to or not. That much has been established in this series, and in last year’s series. However, the Warriors have the ability to slow down Irving, and to win this game seven at home, they are going to need to do that and more on defense.
I suspect that Irving will see a lot of Klay Thompson and Shaun Livingston on defense in this game, and if that’s the case, 27 points seems like a nigh number for the NBA odds. I fully expect James to get his points in this one, but Irving is reliant on getting to the line and shooting three-pointers. These two things are much harder to do on the road, especially in a Game 7. If you take away his 41-point Game 5, Irving is shooting just 33 percent from the floor in the other two road games in this series so far, and I think he falls below 27 in this one.
Free NBA Props Pick: Under 27½ -115
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline
Tristan Thompson O/U 22 points and rebounds
With Andrew Bogut out of Game 6, Tristan Thompson went nuts on the boards. Thompson had 16 total rebounds and 15 points for one of his best games of the NBA Finals. Even on the road here in Game 7, Thompson is once again going to play huge minutes for the Cavs at center, and he should once again grab more than his fair share of rebounds in this one.
He had his total for points and rebounds cashed almost in the first half, and he should once again have every opportunity to do it again. Thompson is leading all players this postseason in offensive rebounding, and considering he is now the biggest player on the floor, that is only going to help his rebounding totals.
While the Warriors will surely make a concerted effort to keep Thompson out of the paint, my question is how are they going to do that? Festus Ezeli is good, but not good enough to keep Thompson off the glass, and other than that the Warriors have no one else capable of muscling Thompson now that Bogut is out. Considering he is averaging over 11 rebounds per game in this series, and the fact that he has 31 rebounds in the two games Bogut was hurt or out, I feel confident in my NBA Props Pick on his ability to get eight to 10 points for the over in this one.
Free NBA Props Pick: Over 22 -115
Best Line Offered: at Bovada