Even though the NBA Finals are still far away, several sportsbooks have Finals MVP prop betting NBA Odds out right now. Paddy Power is the one I’ll be taking a look at today, as we discuss some of the prices for players to win Finals MVP this season.
Stephen Curry (+140)
The league's newest MVP comes in as the favorite from Paddy Power, and most every other book offering props already for Finals MVP. However what makes this a questionable bet for me is that for only +140, you’re betting the Warriors to beat the Grizzlies, the Rockets or Clippers, the Cavs or the Bulls and that he is spectacular enough to win Finals MVP. That is a whole lot to ask for +140, and even though it is Stephen Curry, I’m not buying into him at this price. If we’re talking 2/1 or better, I’m game, but +140 on the NBA odds is not a good enough value for me to take that big of a risk.
LeBron James (+500)
The King came back last night to proclaim his dominance against the Bulls to tie the series heading back to Chicago. The popular opinion around the league (especially now with the John Wall injury) is that the winner of this series is going to the NBA Finals, so betting a player from this series to be the Finals MVP might be a good value. 5/1 for LeBron James might be one of the better values around right now, however they lost home court advantage, and will have to win it back for me to recommend LeBron to win Finals MVP.
Klay Thompson (+900)
I don’t understand this one at all. There is nothing in my mind that makes Klay Thompson a better bet to win Finals MVP than the two guys below him. Obviously there is a big drop off from James, but Tony Allen has been locking down Thompson in this current series, and if the Dubs happen to make it to the Finals, it will likely be against the Bulls or Cavs. The problem with that is both teams have very capable wing defenders to throw at Thompson, so if you’re betting him to win Finals MVP, you might as well go buy some scratch off tickets too, or just give it to a homeless guy on the street.
James Harden (+1200)
Much like LeBron, this is one of the better values for Finals MVP right now. James Harden hasn’t been outstanding yet, but if the Rockets get to the Finals, this 12/1 is going to look like a steal. It’s possible as they tied the series back up last night, and with the injury to Chris Paul, their chances of getting to the Western Conference Finals are still good despite losing home court from Game 1. They would still have to get past several good teams, but the value is there right now in these NBA Odds.
Kyrie Irving (+1400)
The final guy here for Paddy Power is Kyrie Irving, which might not be a bad bet with our NBA picks. He could easily take advantage of any of the Western Conference teams left in the playoffs, so if the Cavs can get past the Bulls and past whomever they face in the Eastern Conference Finals, these odds are really good for Kyrie. He will have to average about 30 points per game in the Finals to do it, but even in his first playoff appearance, he is very capable to do so.