NBA Finals Betting: Will The Warriors Blow a 3-0 Lead to Cleveland?

Kevin Durant

Jason Lake

Thursday, June 8, 2017 2:18 PM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 8, 2017 2:18 PM UTC

The Golden State Warriors have yet to lose a game this postseason. The basketball odds suggest they’ll complete the sweep Friday night against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Maybe the Cleveland Cavaliers should have changed the game plan after all. We took UNDER 227 for Game 3 of the NBA Finals versus the Golden State Warriors, expecting Cleveland to come out with a more defensive mindset. Head coach Tyronn Lue had other ideas. But it looked like Lue was correct to leave J.R. Smith in the starting lineup – until the Cavs coughed up a late 6-point lead to lose 118-113 as 3.5-point home dogs.

The Warriors can complete the first 16-0 sweep of the playoffs this Friday night (9:00 p.m. ET, ABC) when they face the Cavs in Game 4. At press time, Golden State is a 6-point chalk on the NBA odds board, up from –4 at the open, and the total has edged even higher to 228.5 points. Should we stick with the OVER? Or is it time to hop on the Dubs bandwagon one more time?


It’s going to be a tricky spot. The Cavaliers appeared to outplay Golden State Wednesday night, getting some much-needed secondary scoring from Smith (5-of-10 from downtown) and Kyle Korver (2-of-6). But the rest of the team went 5-of-28 (17.9 percent) from behind the arc, while the Warriors shot 16-of-33 (48.5 percent) to make up for some of their foibles.

Now the Cavs have to overcome the psychological effects of letting Game 3 slip away from them, putting the team in a 3-0 hole that no NBA team has ever dug itself out from. They also have to play on just one day of rest, after LeBron James logged 46 minutes Wednesday night. James is running on fumes at this juncture. Yet he was still the best player on the floor in Game 3, putting up 39 points, 11 rebounds and nine assists. What else is James supposed to do?

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LeBron James was +7 in 46 minutes and his team lost by five. In a game of incredible stats, nothing touches that.

— Michael Pina (@MichaelVPina) June 8, 2017

At the other end of the court, the Warriors will have extra motivation to keep their foot on the snake’s throat after what happened last time around. Teams up 3-0 in a playoff series are 16-8 SU and 13-9-1 ATS over the past five years, so we could recommend the Dubs for your NBA picks in Game 4, or we could give the UNDER another try with Cleveland on the back foot and James sucking wind. Let’s go with both. It’s an end-of-season clearance sale at the home ranch.



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