NBA Western Conference Power rankings update
Let’s take a look at where I rank the west right now and see which teams I think will have positive expected value agaisnt the NBA odds on the money line.
- San Antonio Spurs (56-19 SU, 39-34-2 ATS, 1st in West standings)
The Spurs are 1 ½ games up on the Thunder with seven more to play and luckily for us and NBA fans and bettors alike, they are playing one another tonight. The Spurs have definitely cooled off from their first half run ATS, and I think after all of last year and most of this season, the books have finally figured out that the Spurs are good. I hope you all took advantage over such things over the last 18 months, but I think it’s over. The Spurs will rest their players late and especially if they beat the Thunder tonight, you can count on San Antonio going around .500 the rest of the way.
- Oklahoma City Thunder (54-20 SU, 43-28-3 ATS, 2nd in West standings)
I guess the Thunder have turned into the Spurs, as they hold the best ATS record of any West team. I just don’t understand how a team who made the Finals last season could be undervalued, but they are -7 ½ favorites against the Spurs tonight. OKC has a somewhat rough final eight games, as six of them are against playoff teams from either conference. I don’t know if they can sustain their run ATS in these last few games, especially if they end up resting the last three or so because the conference is wrapped up.
- Denver Nuggets (Up one spot, 51-24 SU, 46-29 ATS, 3rd in West standings)
They were 4th last week in the standings and my power rankings, but the Nuggets keep finding ways to win, and they have jumped above the Clippers late in the season and are 1 ½ games up on them as we stand currently. Denver just finds ways to win this season, and they have won the most games ATS (46) of any team in the NBA. Can they beat one of the powerhouse teams of the West in a playoff series? That remains to be seen. However, they might be in a good spot to. Playing at the Pepsi Center is no joke and has proven excellent for our NBA picks.
- Memphis Grizzlies (Up one spot, 51-24 SU, 42-32-1 ATS, 5th in West standings)
Despite the Clippers being worse record-wise, they are still 4th and above the Grizzlies in the standings, which will mean a lot if they meet in the playoffs, because the Clippers could have home court advantage despite having the worst record (if it all ends that way). Obviously the division winner rule is hurting Memphis, but either way, I think the Clipper have shown their true colors recently, and I think the Nuggets and Grizzlies are right where they need to be. I think both are better than LAC.
- Los Angeles Clippers (Down two spots)
- Golden State Warriors
- Houston Rockets
- Los Angeles Lakers