NBA Betting Trends after the All-Star Break

Jordan Sharp

Monday, February 17, 2014 7:31 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 17, 2014 7:31 PM UTC

The NBA picks are back up tomorrow night after a five-day layoff for the All Star Break, and with only thirty or so game remaining for all the teams, the home stretch is upon us.

There are several teams having really good seasons ATS, and while some of them may be a great bet going forward, some may start to regress in the second half.

The hottest team in the East heading into the break was the Toronto Raptors. Even though they slumped just slightly ATS heading into the break, they still have been the best bet of any NBA team over the last 25 games. Toronto is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games heading into the break, and although they might see a slight regression ATS in the final 30 games, I doubt it is anything drastic.

Another team that should continue to be a good wager going forward is the Wizards. Washington is one of the better SU and ATS teams in the East right now, and along with the Raptors, it looks as if together they are the 3rd and 4th best teams in the East.

However the rest of the East has not been that kind to us this season ATS. Seven of the eight worst ATS teams in the entire league are from the Eastern Conference, and with all of them, it’s hard to see a turnaround on the horizon. Teams like the Magic, Bucks, Knicks and Pistons will likely remain fade material down the stretch.

The Houston Rockets are one of the hotter ATS teams out West heading into the second half. Dwight Howard finally looks like Howard again after spending the better part of two seasons looking like a slightly above average center. Houston went 7-4 ATS in their final 11 games heading into the break, and if their balanced play continues they could still be a great bet in the final 30 games.

The Spurs have been struggling ATS heading into the break, and for the first time in nearly a decade, we are wondering whether the Spurs are becoming a team to fade instead of nearly blindly tailing them. San Antonio went 3-5 ATS heading into the break, and with all of the injuries they have experienced, it doesn’t surprise me they started to falter.

However with guys like Kawhi Leonard and Manu Ginobli coming back soon, the Spurs could once again be a solid bet at some point this season. Even though they have been bad ATS, their SU record is still the 2nd best in the East, so it just goes to show you this team is still very good.

In the west, there are some other teams not in the playoff picture that could be trending upward in the final thirty games. Both the Lakers and Kings look to be getting better ATS, and while the Lakers might not be so undervalued once Kobe Bryant makes his return, until then I think people really don’t get how good this team can be even without Bryant. Sacramento has a longer way to go, but their play at home has been very profitable for NBA bettors this season. I see no reason why that won’t continue into the second half. 

comment here