The SBR NBA betting blog for Saturday features a best bet for the series result in the Warriors-Spurs matchup, some numbers on post-blowout playoff losses, and player props highlighting Steph Curry and Jonathon Simmons.
The Warriors own a commanding 2-0 lead, are 6-point road favorites for Game 3, and San Antonio’s MVP candidate Kawhi Leonard remains hobbled with an injured left ankle. For all intents and purposes, the series is over. But how will it finish? Online sportsbook 5Dimes offers these Western Conference Finals Series Exact Result odds:
Warriors win 4-0, +100
Warriors win 4-1, +170
Warriors win 4-2, +800
Warriors win 4-3, +1300
Spurs win 4-2, +5500
Spurs win 4-3, +3225
The best bet is the Warriors 4-1 at +170 odds. In the last 15 years, a number one seed has never swept the conference championship series. Ironically, it has been on the losing end of a broom breakout twice. LeBron James and the Cavaliers swept the top-seeded Hawks in 2014, while the Nets blasted the Pistons in four in 2002.
Coming off a 36-point beatdown in Game 2, and with their superstar sidelined, it’s easy to write off the Spurs. But this team is systematic, too well-coached, and will conjure up a game plan to slow the Warriors in at least one of the next two contests in San Antonio. Look for the Celtics to do the same in their series versus the Cavaliers, too.
Speaking of the Warriors 36-point win, LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers embarrassed the Boston Celtics Friday night 130-86 to take a 2-0 series lead in the Eastern conference. The 44-point loss was the biggest defeat for a No. 1 seed in NBA playoff history. Huge blowouts are not uncommon in the postseason. Since 2002, there have been 41 games settled by more than 30 points, 14 of which ended a series. Those teams on the receiving end are 11-16 SU and 13-14 ATS next time out versus the same opponent. As underdogs, the record slips to 8-15 SU and 10-13 ATS.
Warriors-Spurs Player Props
Since 2014, the Warriors are a perfect 9-0 SU when road favorites of 5 points or higher in the playoffs. Sharpshooter Steph Curry has dropped 30 points or more in all but two, although a pair of contests stretched into extra time. Still, the two-time MVP is averaging .86 points per minute. Lean the over points scored.
The Spurs are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS when Kawhi Leonard sits out this season. The team averages 106 points per game. Where does the scoring come from? From all over. Jonathon Simmons sees a decent jump in production. The shooting guard has featured in nine contests with Leonard missing, averaging .45 points per minute. He sees his regular-season average playing time jump form 17.8 minutes per game to 27.2. Books offered a O/U 13.5 points in Game 2. He’s averaging 12.2 in this scenario. Lean UNDER if a similar number arises.Join The Conversation On SBR's NBA Forum