NBA Betting: Rising Total Makes Under the Easy Pick for Game 3

Cleveland Cavs

Jason Lake

Tuesday, June 6, 2017 2:06 PM GMT

The over was the correct basketball pick for Game 2 of the NBA Finals. But the tables have turned for Wednesday’s Game 3 at the Q between Golden State and Cleveland.

I think I’m losing my mind this time. Watching Game 2 of the NBA Finals on Sunday was like watching Muhammad Ali beat the living daylights out of Joe Frazier in the third fight of their trilogy, the Thrilla in Manila. The Golden State Warriors were Ali, dropping bombs all night long on the Cleveland Cavaliers; Golden State finished 18-of-43 (41.9 percent) from 3-point range and won 132-113 as 9-point home faves on the closing line. We had OVER 221 in our portfolio.

Frazier was never the same after that fight, and the Cavaliers as we know them might be done, too. They opened as 2.5-point home dogs on the NBA odds board for Game 3 on Wednesday (9:00 p.m. ET, ABC), and they’re as high as +3.5 as we go to press. But once again, we’re more interested in that total, which has bounced back up to 227 points (!) after Sunday’s deluge. One guess which direction we’re heading in for our NBA picks.

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Said when Lue hired choice to run stupid because of tread on LBJ's legs; Love/KI injury history. #Cavs need to grind. Won last year with D.

— Jon Spencer (@jspencermnj) June 5, 2017
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Iman for All Seasons

Yes, of course we’re recommending the UNDER. Sunday’s game was all kinds of crazy, although the Warriors shot close to their average from downtown, and the Cavaliers only went 8-of-29 (27. 6 percent). It was more about the degree of difficulty for many of those shots that the Dubs drained. Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson were hitting threes from Alcatraz. Kevin Durant was 4-of-8. It was insane.It could all happen again Wednesday night. But we expect the Cavaliers to play a different kind of basketball in Game 3, one that relies heavily on slowing things down. Head coach Tyronn Lue has already emphasized defense for this game; rumor has it that Iman Shumpert (0.0 DBPM) could replace J.R. Smith (–0.7 DBPM) in the starting lineup, even though Shumpert needed an IV after Game 2. Desperate times call for desperate measures.