Stephen Curry ran away with the MVP award last season in route to his first NBA Championship, and as we get ready to start the second half, Curry is the big favorite against the NBA Odds.
Stephen Curry (-900)
Curry opened the season at most shops around +450 or even +500 to win the MVP, and with the way the Warriors are going after the Bulls regular season wins record, if they get it, Curry will easily win his second MVP trophy in as many seasons. Even if they don’t get to 72 wins this season, all Golden State really has to do at this point is hang onto the number one overall seed in the West, and Curry should once again be the MVP of the league.
This makes it very difficult to make a play on any other of these guys below, because even though they are very deserving, the MVP voters focus too much on the best player from the best team with the best record. MVP voters can’t think outside the box of how good Draymond Green has been this season, which has really helped Curry’s numbers if you think about it. However, the voters aren’t changing any time soon, so if you put a bet on Curry before the season started that may be the only real value in the MVP odds this season.
Kawhi Leonard (+900)
Kawhi Leonard has been nothing short of fantastic for the Spurs this season, and it just goes to show how much of a dynasty this team is. For the first time since he started coaching the Spurs, Gregg Popovich didn’t have one of his veteran big three in the All Star Game, but Leonard and LaMarcus Aldridge were there, and if those two guys can take it up a notch in the second half, catching the Warriors and usurping Curry to win the MVP might not be as farfetched as the NBA Odds suggest.
For starters, the Warriors have had an easier schedule than the Spurs so far this season, and while both have ten games remaining against teams who are above .500 currently, the only problem for the Spurs is they have more road games left than home. San Antonio has 16 road games remaining on their schedule compared to Golden State’s 13. While it is a long shot, Leonard’s value if the Spurs’ somehow take over the top spot in the West might only get worse from here on out. However, it’s definitely a risky wager at this point.
LeBron James (+900)
If you want a long shot wager for a player to get MVP, Leonard may be the better wager compared to Lebron James, but James still has an outside chance. However, not only will the Cavs have to continue on their run they started heading into the All Star Break, James will basically have to turn on the James from the NBA Finals last season to have any shot at winning the award.
If you look at Lebron’s stats from this season, the 31 year-old is starting to see a slight dip in production. He is averaging the last amount of points per game since his rookie season, and because of how badly he is shooting three pointers this season, his Effective Field Goal Percentage has dropped to its lowest level since before James left Cleveland for Miami. While it shouldn’t surprise anyone to see Lebron come out of the break rested and putting up huge numbers, but with how Curry and the Warriors are playing, it will be almost impossible for Lebron to take back enough votes to win the award over the next 30 games.