NBA Betting Preview: Knicks vs. Pistons

Tuesday, November 19, 2013 6:49 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 19, 2013 6:49 PM UTC

The Detroit Pistons are favored by a couple of buckets, which means this game might be near a pick 'em on a neutral court. Where will we put our money?

The Knicks and Pistons are both off to a slow start, but New York has been better on the road this year than at home, and they're on the road Tuesday night, meeting the Pistons at the Palace in Auburn Hills (7:30 pm ET).


Knicks-Pistons Betting Line

Most NBA betting outlets we consulted opened this game with Detroit favored by four points, the total proffered at 200. But in the early action many NBA odds dropped the Pistons to -3.5, and the total to 198.5.

For those who think the Knicks might win this game outright, they can get a price of around +145 on the various NBA betting moneylines.

Knicks-Pistons Game Set-Up

New York began this season with a win over Milwaukee, then lost three in a row. The Knicks then won at Charlotte, lost at home to San Antonio, then won at Atlanta. Since then, though, they've dropped two straight, most recently falling to the Hawks at home Saturday night 110-90.

New York, as four-point favorites, shot just 38 percent from the floor against the Hawks, while allowing Atlanta to hit at a 56-percent clip.

On the home side of this match-up, Detroit began this season with a win over Washington, an overtime loss at Memphis and a victory over Boston. Respectable enough. But the Pistons then lost four in a row, both SU and ATS. They then won at Sacramento, but lost to the Lakers in LA Sunday night 114-99.

Detroit shot 48 percent from the floor against LA, but allowed the Lakers to shoot 52 percent, and got outscored 64-43 in the second half.

Knicks-Pistons By the Numbers

Detroit ranks 16th in the league in FG shooting at 45 percent, but dead last in both 3-point shooting at 28 percent and free-throw shooting at 69 percent. And it's hard to cover pointspreads when you can't make your free-throws.

The Pistons also rank dead last in FG defense, allowing opponents to shoot 49 percent from the field, and 15th in rebounding -0 per game.

New York ranks 24th in shooting at 42 percent, 19th from long-range at 34 percent and 12th in FT shooting at 77 percent. The Knicks also rank 24th in FG defense at 46 percent and 27th in rebounding at -4.6 per game.

Knicks-Pistons Recent History

Last season New York swept four games from Detroit, and covered as a favorite each game. The Knicks won 121-100 at MSG, 102-87 in London, 99-85 back at the Garden and 87-77 at the Palace.

New York shot 46 percent from the floor in those four games combined, held the Pistons to 44-percent shooting, and for whatever reasons shot and made more free-throws than Detroit in every game. The Knicks made 78 free-throws in those four games, compared to the Pistons' 40 made FT's, and those 38 extra points came in handy covering those spreads.

Knicks-Pistons Betting Trends

New York is just 3-6 ATS this season, but 3-0 ATS on the road.

Detroit is 4-5 ATS this season, but 1-5 ATS over their last six games.

The Knicks are 5-4 on the OVER/UNDERS this season, as their games have averaged 194 points.

The Pistons are 7-2 on the totals, as their games have averaged 204 points.

Be sure to check out SBR's Free Sportsbooks Reviews

Knicks-Pistons Injury Report

Detroit G Chauncey Billups, who's been putting in some minutes but done little on the stat sheets, has missed recent action with a sore knee and is questionable for Tuesday night. And fellow G Will Bynum is doubtful because of a sore hammy.

Over on the other bench New York is bit nicked up, as G Raymond Felton, F World Peace and C Tyson Chandler are all expected to miss Tuesday's game.

Our Take on Tuesday's Game

This game looks like a bit of a stinker; neither team has done much this season to inspire any confidence, both are a bit banged up and neither has been shooting very well or playing much defense. But the Knicks hold a mental edge, having beaten the Pistons seven times in a row, and so far this season New York has played better ball on the road than at home. So we'll take the points with the underdog for our free NBA pick for Tuesday.

Pick: Take the Knicks at the +4 points offered at Pinnacle.

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