NBA Betting Picks - Miami Heat vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Heat player Derrick Williams in action

Jordan Sharp

Friday, November 25, 2016 2:32 PM GMT

Miami and Memphis hit the trifecta when it comes to low-scoring games and the total of 189 ½ may seem low, but looking deeper it might not be low enough in the NBA betting lines.

 Miami Heat vs. Memphis Grizzlies

I explain in detail about the Heat and Grizzlies’ opening NBA Basketball lines in the feature article, so go check that out before reading any further so you’ll understand the concepts at work here. Using these two teams pace of play, combined with their offensive and defensive ratings, we can come up with a formula to determine that their NBA Odds of 189 ½ are too low.

Miami and Memphis both are two of the top five defensive teams in the NBA this season and they both play slow paces. On top of that, their offenses rank among the bottom six in the NBA this season, making 189 ½ an easy money under play.

Free NBA Pick: UNDER 189 ½Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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