NBA Betting - Pick Road-Savvy Spurs vs. Young TWolves

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, December 6, 2016 5:24 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 6, 2016 5:24 PM UTC

Betting on Kawhi Leonard and the San Antonio Spurs on the Road this season has been a casher than at home. Maybe the oddsmakers are giving a little bit too much juice to the still-young Timberwolves? 



Odds Overview

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves: The Spurs (17-4, 9-10-1 ATS) take a 12-game Road winning streak to the Target Center the Land of 10,000 Lakes on Tuesday night when they face the Minnesota Timberwolves (6-14 SU, 7-13 ATS) in a Southwest Division matchup in the first meeting of the season. NBA Odds see the Spurs 3½- (JustBet) to 4-point favorites (BetOnline)—they opened 6 (BetOnline), down on the Tony Parker injury news—with the Total from 205½ (Bookmaker) to 207½-point (BetOnline). The Money Line odds see San Antonio (9-1 L10) at -155 with Minnesota (3-7 L10) +135 underdogs (BetDSI).



San Antonio Spurs Overview, Team Trends

The big news in the Spurs (-120 to win NBA Championship, BetOnline) camp is that starting PG Tony Parker is out for awhile with a Knee Injury but expect San Antonio to never look back, walk tall, look fine and let genius Head Coach Gregg Popovich figure it all out.

Kawhi Leonard, LaMarcus Aldridge and the Spurs (+850 to win NBA Championship, 5Dimes)—who won 97-96 Monday in Milwaukee (SA -6)—are 2-5 ATS L7 overall, on Tuesdays, against the NBA Southwest and vs. Home Teams with Losing Records, but 7-4-1 ATS L11 Road. The Over is 7-2 L9 San Antonio Roadies but the Under’s 6-2 L8 Spurs’ Tuesdays.




Minnesota Timberwolves Overview, Team Trends

The talented Timberwolves (400/1 to win NBA Championship, BookMaker) have made strides, and with Karl-Anthony Towns, Anthony Wiggins and Rookie Kris Dunn (10/1 Rookie of Year, BetVictor) may blossom but Minnesota (1-3 SU vs. Southwest) is 3-6 SU at Home.



The Timberwolves are also 2-5 ATS L7 Tuesdays, 2-8 ATS L10 vs. Team With Winning Record and 18-39-1 ATS L58 Home games (31.6%)—fade material against a team chasing Golden State (17-3) and NBA history. The Over is 21-6-1 L28 Minnesota games vs. the Southwest Division.


Series Trends, Final Thoughts, Game Picks

The Trends support the Spurs with San Antonio (4-0 ATS L4 in Minnesota) and if they only knew the 12-0 SU overall Road run is one thing but the 7-0 SU and 5-1 ATS marks the L7 meetings—with 6 Overs—reveals divisional dominance and even with Tim Duncan (Retired) and Parker (Knee) not present. And the 2-point move gives perceived value to Spurs backers, even playing BTB Road nights with 0 Days Rest (3-2 ATS). The Road team’s 4-1 ATS L5 with the Favorite—always San Antonio—6-1 ATS L7 meetings. And backing the Spurs in the First Half market makes sense (SA -1 -115, JustBet).



PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Spurs 106 Timberwolves 93Free NBA Pick: Spurs -1 -115 1st Half & Spurs -3½ Best Lines Offered: at Bookmaker

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