NBA Trade deadline and odds update
Besides the Rudy Gay trade, there haven’t been any big names on
the move, but the next nine days could be filled with plenty of excitement.
The Raptors have been helped both in the future odds and the betting world when they acquired Gay. Toronto is 3-2 ATS with Gay in the lineup, and they moved from +850,000 to +200,000 after the trade in the NBA future odds. Below I’ve listed some of the biggest names that could be moving shortly, along with a couple of nice fits as well.
Smith is by far the most interesting of all the names on the trading block right now, not only because of his talent, but his attitude and very “unique,” set of skills. His contract is up at the end of this season, so any trade would be seen as a rental unless Smith verbally agrees to re-sign. If the Hawks truly believe he is going to leave this summer, you will see him get dealt. The Nets (+3000) and the Lakers (+2000) have both bee linked to him, and both of those teams would get a huge lift in the future odds and ATS this season if they could pull it off. I think the Hawks will deal him to Brooklyn, but they will try and hold out for a better deal than Kris Humphries and Marshon Brooks.
Big Al is having another great season in Utah, but he and teammate Paul Millsap are both free agents at the end of this season, and Utah has two VERY promising young big men in Enes Kantor and Derrick Favors. I think Jefferson is the guy that’s going to be shipped out, mostly because I think the Jazz will get much better value. Jefferson would be a huge lift to the Celtics, (+12500) a team looking to make up for no Rondo. But I’m not sure if Boston has the pieces to get the deal done, but a team like the Spurs (+500) does. Would a package of Tiago Splitter, Stephen Jackson and a first round NBA pick be enough for the Jazz to say yes? I think so. It just depends on if the Spurs think they need to go that route. They would have plenty of money to potentially resign Jefferson this offseason, but Manu Ginobli is also a free agent. However, a lineup of Tony Parker, Manu Ginolbli, Al Jefferson and Tim Duncan would be hard to pass up in 2013 if the price is right.
If he could get on the court more than once or twice every month, the Raptors could still very well trade the former number one overall pick. The problem with that is his value is very low, and I don’t see why they rush it. Bargnani still has some years left on his deal, but a team like the Lakers who are running out of options could take a chance on Bargnani. The only issue with that is now Pau Gasol is hurt, and will be out another 5-7 weeks. I think the Raptors wait until the offseason to make a trade. That will give them another 35 games to show of his talent and gain interest.