NBA Betting: Miami Heat Offseason Team Report

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, July 23, 2013 7:35 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 23, 2013 7:35 PM UTC

Let’s take a brief look back on 2012, before we jump into what they are doing this summer, and what the NBA Odds look like for them to go back-to-back-to-back.

Just a month removed from their second title in as many seasons, the Heat are making moves this summer, trying to lessen their luxury tax bill, while at the same time trying to keep and improve the team. The latter is proving harder than the former, but the Heat look just as dangerous in 2013-2014 as they did in the last two seasons... for your NBA picks, just as valuable.

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2012 recap

The Heat, of course, got to their third straight NBA Finals last season, and once again hoisted the trophy. Throughout the season they were one of the league’s best scoring teams, averaging almost 103 points per game. However what led them to their title and their huge winning streak was their defense. During that huge stretch of winning and to finish the season, the Heat’s defense took them to new heights, much like it did for their first title. The Heat finished the season as the 5th best defense based on points per game, 6th in opponent’s field goal percentage, and their opponent’s were committing almost 15 turnovers per game. This led to an ATS regular season record of 46-36 in the NBA odds.

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Obviously, the Heat didn’t have a whole lot to accomplish in free agency but they have made a few moves of note this offseason. Most notably is they resigned free agent Chris “Birdman” Anderson to a minimum deal. Anderson’s defense and rim protecting was a big reason the Heat were able to win against the Spurs, as he averaged just over a block per game during the playoffs.

The next, and most recent move the Heat made was to amnesty Mike Miller. Miller was set to make $12 million during the next two seasons, and by eliminating his contract, the Heat will now be in better shape to try and sign Greg Oden, and possibly another minimum contract like a Nate Robinson who is still out there.

The Heat could still get a lot better this offseason, especially if they ink Oden and he is actually able to get out on the court. The Heat’s main weakness was rebounding and post defense last season, as they were dead last in the NBA in rebounding at less than 39 per game.

Future Odds value

As sports picks, the Heat are great value once again to go for the three-peat, with a price of +200. This year will be the toughest yet however, because for the last two years they haven’t had to go through Derrick Rose, and for the most part, the East has gotten better this offseason. Brooklyn, Indiana and even New York will be tough outs in a seven game series.

The next highest team to the Heat are the Thunder at +600 this offseason to win the NBA Title. The NBA odds don’t seem to have many tricks in them just yet, and locking in Miami at +200 this offseason could be a good move at this point. If they sign Oden and Robinson, this team may be unstoppable heading into 2013-2014.

The 2013-14 NBA season is just a few short months away. Join the discussion now!

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