However the Spurs mercilessly swept them, and now they face a much improved Western Conference this season. Will the Grizzlies be able to work their Beale Street magic on the NBA odds once again this season?
Not only were the Grizzlies one of the league’s best teams last season SU, but they were the best team in the NBA ATS. The Grizzlies finished the season and the postseason with a record of 57-38-2 ATS. Much like the Nuggets this time last season, I predicted the Grizzlies would be undervalued, and they came through even better than I thought they’d be.
Marc Gasol was the league’s defensive player of the year, and even after they traded Rudy Gay at the trade deadline, they seemed have gotten even better! They got better defensively with Tayshaun Prince, and even though he is overpaid, the Grizzlies still have one of the better rosters out West from top to bottom. They may not have one super star, but between Gasol, Zach Randolph and Mike Conley, they have three very good pieces, and a whole lot else around them. They have even been able to retain everyone and tack on a little more.
The biggest question mark going into the season was Tony Allen, but the Grizzlies extended him their midlevel exception, giving him 4 years and $20 million. Next was the possibility that Jerryd Bayless would opt out of his contract to become a free agent. Alas he opted in, and is now heading into free agency after this season. Both of those guys were crucial to the Grizzlies run through the playoffs, Allen for his defense and Bayless for his bench scoring.
They even were able to add on Mike Miller to the group, who will see more of a role with the Grizzlies then he had with Miami. With these guys in tact, the Grizzlies might be very close to the level of the Thunder, Spurs and Rockets. Depending on the value they present, they might yet again be a pretty good bet to be undervalued this season.
The Grizzlies are +3000 to win the NBA Title this season, and I think once again they are being undervalued by the sportsbooks this summer. They were a team that I labeled undervalued at this time last offseason, and even after being one of the final four teams last year, (and still the same team) they aren’t getting the love.
Teams like the Lakers and Knicks are ahead of the Grizzlies in the future odds! Are you serious? The Grizzlies would wax either of those teams in a playoff series, and probably in the regular season as well. Memphis doesn’t get the respect from sportsbooks or bettors alike for their ability to shut people down, and for that I think we can expect them to be a great bet ATS going into the season. I don’t know if they can cash at a rate of 60% again, but they will once again be a winning sports pick in the NBA Odds.
The 2013-14 NBA season is just a few short months away. Join the discussion now!