NBA Betting: L.A. Lakers at Sacramento, Nov 22nd

Jason Lake

Wednesday, November 22, 2017 12:43 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2017 12:43 PM UTC

After coming back to beat Chicago Tuesday night, the L.A. Lakers visit the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday. Is this finally Sacramento’s time to beat the NBA odds?

L.A. Lakers vs Sacramento Kings

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3264387, "sportsbooksIds":[238,1096,93,1275,180], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

Free NBA Pick: UNDER 209 (–105)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

That’s what we get for picking the Sacramento Kings. We had them at +7 in Monday night’s home game against the Denver Nuggets, who were playing the second of back-to-back games after losing Paul Millsap to an injured wrist. Final score: Denver 114, Sacramento 98. I feel shame.

So here we are with the Los Angeles Lakers traveling to Sacto Wednesday night (10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN) after rallying to beat the Chicago Bulls 103-94 as 5.5-point home faves in Tuesday’s lone game. The Kings opened as 1-point home dogs on the NBA odds board, and that’s where they are at press time, with the early consensus reports showing a slight lean towards Los Angeles. Here we go again?

 U Can’t Touch This

The circumstances are a bit different. Denver lost hyooge Sunday night – to the Lakers, no less – and not only was Millsap on the sidelines, head coach Mike Malone was suspended that game for making contact with an official in L.A. In this case, the Lakers (7-10 SU, 8-9 ATS) are coming off a win, albeit an ugly one, and there’s no report of any injuries following Tuesday’s victory.

The math doesn’t necessarily like Sacramento for our NBA picks, either. FiveThirtyEight has the Kings (4-13 SU, 5-10-2 ATS) at 54 percent to win, or –1, but ESPN’s Basketball Power Index has the Lakers at 56 percent, or –2.5. There’s not much wiggle room for either team in this matchup.

 Stauskas?!

We did feel a bit unclean recommending Sacramento here at the home office. There are certain franchises in pro sports that make me wonder if maybe, just maybe, they’re not entirely serious about winning. The Kings, under owner Vivek Ranadive since 2013, are one of those franchises. Let’s take a quick look at their record the past four seasons:

2013-14: 28-54 SU, 37-42-3 ATS
2014-15: 29-53 SU, 33-46-3 ATS
2015-16: 33-49 SU, 38-43-1 ATS
2016-17: 32-50 SU, 41-38-3 ATS

And we thought they were turning the corner last year. We’d love to tell you this is The Process in motion, but it feels more like exploiting the good people of Sacto for their hard-earned money. Let’s bail on the point spread this time and consider the UNDER on the 209-point total. The UNDER is 5-2 for the Lakers on the road, 4-3 for the Kings at home, and 6-0 in the last six games between these two formerly bitter rivals. Robert Horry says hi.

comment here