The Chicago Bulls are one of the teams that have a good shot of upsetting the Miami Heat, however there are several things that would have to go right in order for that to happen. Let’s take a look at what the NBA Odds have to say about Derrick Rose and the Bulls’ chances of winning the title this season, and see if there may be any offseason value.
Future Odds (+1000)
Chicago comes into the season right behind the Heat at +200, and the Thunder at +600 to win the NBA Title according to Bet365 sportsbook. Many other shops have these exact same lines for the best four or five teams, and it seems as if these are the numbers we will enter the season with, unless (God forbid) there are a couple of bad preseason injuries.
Many things will determine Chicago’s season, but in the end, it all boils down to health. Whether it’s the knee and longevity of Derrick Rose, or the sustained health of guys like Joakim Noah or Luol Deng, if everyone on the Bulls can reach that elusive 70-75 games played mark this season, they have a great shot of knocking off Miami. Only one player remains from last season’s roster who played 82 games, and that’s Jimmy Butler.
Chicago was up against some serious cap issues this summer, so their free agency was really short and sweet. They did sign Mike Dunleavy, who will give them some stability at both the 2 and the 3 positions. Along with Dunleavy, the team drafted Tony Snell, who (despite Tom Thibodeau’s reluctance to play rookies) could see some steady minutes all season, and has been compared to Kawhi Leonard a lot.
While the Bulls did lose Nate Robinson, the team thinks second-year point guard, Marquis Teague can take that role of the bench-scoring monster. He is touted as soon to be as good or even better than his brother in Atlanta. With Kirk Hinrich moving back to the bench, Chicago’s second unit is as back to being as good as it was a few years ago.
The Sharp Pick
Everyone who follows me consistently in the NBA knows I’m a huge Bulls fan. However I’m not quite sold on my guys this season at 10/1 for a solid NBA pick. I want to believe it, but until I see Rose’s knee, Noah’s foot, Deng’s wrist, Boozer’s defense and the new bench mob gain some consistency and longevity, I’m having a hard time with Chicago this offseason in the NBA future odds. I think they could hold some nice value, but if they stay healthy and play well in the regular season, they will be down with the Thunder at +600 before you know it.
I’m not against taking the Bulls right now, but know you are betting on a lot of wildcards with that play. If Rose comes back like Adrian Peterson, most everything else will likely fall right in line. But if Rose is more Robert Griffin III in his return, (sorry for all of the football references) things could be derailed before the regular season even starts. Rose IS going to play in the preseason, so he will work out any rust during the month leading up. The guy has had a total of 17 months before the start of training camp to recover and “get the rust out,” before camp.I do think Rose’s return will go well, but there is too much risk involved right now. If they look good and healthy in the preseason, that is when I might strike at a Bulls future odds wager, but it’s too soon here late in Septembe