NBA Betting: Best & Worst ATS Teams This Season

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, April 5, 2016 8:32 PM GMT

Let’s look at some current trends, update the Best and the Worst of the current ATS Records heading into play on Tuesday night and offer up a NBA pick. 

Bulls, Knicks Under Have Been ATM Machine For Those Paying Attention
When the NCAA Tournament is maddening March and MLB is just around the corner and teams in the NBA seem to be playing odd lineups with some teams fighting for a Playoffs berth and others completely out of the picture, it’s hard to find any consistent ATS Result patterns or Streaks with only so much Time to apply to the many Sports which will be on the daily Betting Menus. Two Trends which seem to have been buried in the glare of the Big Dance have been in the NBA and lie with the tendency for both the Chicago Bulls (36-39-2 O/U) and the New York Knicks to recently play Unders.

Heading into play on Monday night, the Bulls Unders had W7 in a row—including the last 6 straight on the Road—and were 9-1 ATS over their L10 games, while Knicks Unders had W6 straight—including 9 ATS straight at Home at Madison Square Garden—and were 10-1 ATS in their L11 games. So, if you blindly bet the L13 Bulls/Knicks games Under, you went 13-0 ATS and if you bet the L20 Unders overall by both teams, you went 18-2 ATS (90%).

Not too bad. And the Mavericks and Pelicans will have both played 4 straight Unders heading into play on Tuesday night where the Bulls are in Memphis to face the Grizzlies (Comcast, Directv 665, 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT ) and the Pelicans are in Philly to face the 76ers (Fox South-Southeast, Directv 677, 7 p.m. ET/4 p.m. PT; PHI -3½, 204½, BetOnline). Here are some updated Home and Away Betting Trends in the NBA with the leaders (and some close-followers) in some of the major categories.

 

Current NBA Best/Worst ATS Records in Specific Situations (April 4, 2016)

Best Current Overall ATS: Orlando Magic 43-31-1 ATS (58.1%)
>San Antonio (39-0 SU at Home) is close at 42-33-1, but Losses ATS to the Raptors and Pelicans last week put the surprise and last place team in the Southeast Division, the Orlando Magic (23-15 ATS Home) as the best ATS team in the NBA at this point in Time.

 

Worst Current Overall ATS: Chicago Bulls 33-44-1 ATS (42.9%)
> Injuries to starters Noah, Gasol, Rose, Butler and key Reserve Mirotic have really hurt Chicago this Regular Season although with some of those aforementioned Injured back and making a rush for the No. 8 spot in the Eastern Conference, the Bulls have gone 4-1 ATS over their L5.

 

Best Current Home ATS: Detroit Pistons 23-14-2 ATS (62.1%)
>The Pistons edge Orlando (23-15 ATS) and San Antonio (22-16-1) here in this category and had actually played 9 straight Home games at The Palace of Auburn Hills before heading to Chicago for their last game, a 94-90 win on Saturday.

 

Worst Current Home ATS: Minnesota Timberwolves 13-25-1 ATS (34.2%)
>Splendid Rookie in Karl-Anthony Towns (18.3 ppg, 10.3 rpg, 1.8 bpg) and the Timberwolves have L4 straight ATS at the Target Center all year and edged edged out both the Houston Rockets (15-23-0 ATS), Philadelphia 76ers (15-22-1 ATS) and the Sacramento Kings (16-22-1 ATS).

 

Best Current Road ATS: Denver Nuggets 23-15-2 ATS (60.5%)
>The Nuggets have been consistently getting too many points from Oddsmakers although Denver is just 4-5 ATS its L9 Road dribbles so some numerical corrections as well as some statistical reversion to the mean going on over these last two months of the Regular Season. The Knickerbockers (23-16-0 ATS), Timberwolves (22-16-0 ATS) and Warriors (22-16-1 ATS) have all also been pretty good moneymakers on the Road.

 

Worst Current Road ATS: Phoenix Suns 12-26-0 ATS (31.6%)
>The Suns have consistently been eclipsed on the Road this season and if there were a couple of these segments of these specific Trends you would have wanted to back blindly all year, it would be betting against the spotty Suns on the Road (7-31 SU). Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook and the Thunder have been pretty bad on the Road themselves (13-22-2 ATS).

 

Best Current Home—Over ATS: New Orleans Pelicans 28-10-0 ATS (73.7%)
>New Orleans has played 28 Overs in 38 Home games now, but, as mentioned, the L4 Pelicans games overall have all gone Under, while the Under has W2 straight after 4 straight Overs in the previous four dribbles down in The Big Easy.

 

Worst Current Home—Over ATS: Los Angeles Clippers 11-25-2 ATS (30.6%)
>The “Worst Current Home Over ATS” category is the same thing as the “Best Current Home Under ATS,” so taking Clippers Home Unders—hitting at a 69.4% clip—has been very profitable for those Sports Bettors who have been partaking.

 

Best Current Road Over ATS: Minnesota Timberwolves 23-12-3 ATS (65.7%)
>The Timberwolves are followed closely in this category by the Rockets (23-16-0 ATS), Warriors (23-16-0 ATS), Wizards (23-16-0 ATS) and Trail Blazers (23-17-0 ATS).

 

Worst Current Road Over ATS: New Orleans Pelicans 11-25-2 ATS (30.6%)
>Such an Over-ish team at Home and such an Under-ish team away from New Orleans, the Pelicans have been an enigma both on the hardwood and in their betting patterns all year.

 

Best SU Records vs Conference: Golden State 42-5, San Antonio 40-6 vs. West

Worst SU Record vs Conference: Philadelphia 3-45 vs Eastern Conference

Best Average Point Differential: San Antonio Spurs +11.6 ppg (104.2 AF-92.6 AA)

Worst Average Points Differential: Philadelphia 76ers -10.5 ppg (97.0 AF-107.5 AA)

 

Miniature Preview For a Tuesday Game Where Current ATS Trend Applies:
New Orleans Pelicans at Philadelphia 76ers [Wednesday 00:05] (Comcast, Directv 665, NBA League Pass 1 (US) 7:05 p.m. EST/4:05 p.m. PDT): The Philadelphia 76ers (39-37-1 O/U) play host to the New Orleans Pelicans (39-36-1 O/U) at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia on Tuesday night in the second and final of 2 Regular Season inter-conference meetings between the two teams with the Pelicans winning 121-114 in New Orleans on Feb. 19 but (barely) failing to cover ATS as 8½-point chalks (Over, 206).

The Mega-Trend here is those Pelicans Road Unders (25-11-2 ATS, 69.4%), with the L3 in a row going Under (at Brooklyn, at San Antonio, at Indiana), although there was a notable rash of Road Overs (4 of 5) prior to that little run. In the L10 in this series, the Total is split at 5-5, with 2 of the L3 going Under. The Under is 40-19-2 (58.0%) in the Pelicans L61 Road games dating back to last season, so with the Pelicans so beat-up with Anthony Davis (Back), Tyreke Evans (Out), Jrue Holiday (Eye), Ryan Anderson (Hernia), Eric Gordon (Finger), Alonzo Gee (Quadricep) and other New Orleans players all listed as Out for this one along with the 76ers (L12 SU) Jahlil Okafor (Out), none of the players the people that paid money they wanted to see will be playing on Tuesday night in the City of Brotherly Love and this one may resemble a nonchalant NBDL clash but should have its fair share of spurty scoring—the first meeting did have 235 points scored in it—so definitely tread lightly at the windows if even interested as this is still just a Pelicans-76ers game and a game in which the 76ers (9-68) are actually favored when they could still tie the NBA Regular Season’s worst record (9-73), set of course by these same perennially hapless Sixers (1973).

NBA TUESDAY TRENDS PICK: Pelicans-76ers Under 204½ (BetOnline)

CURRENT BEST TREND: Pelicans Home Overs (73.7%, 28-10-0 ATS)