The Sharp Pick is heating up as I have hit on eight of my last nine, and nine of my last 11 NBA Picks, including last night’s parlay.
I am back on a big card tonight to add two more picks, and with the NBA Odds still in early-season mode, I think there is some great outright value tonight.
Don't forget to tune in to our NBA Betting Odds Report as well.
Bobcats vs. Cavaliers
I don’t understand it, but the Bobcats still aren’t getting any love tonight, folks. Charlotte is a +6 ½ NBA Odds underdog in Cleveland tonight, and with how the Cavs have been playing both SU and ATS, how do you not love Charlotte tonight? Is it because they have a history of sucking? Well take a look at what the Cavs have done this season.
Cleveland is 1-8 ATS to start this season, making them the worst bet in the NBA to start the year. However it doesn’t seem like the public, or the sportsbooks are taking the hint. The bets so far for this one seem just slightly to favor Charlotte here, and I have to agree. The Bobcats are not six points worse than Cleveland here, even on the road.
The Cavs will be without Andrew Bynum and for personal reasons, and despite leaving yesterday’s practice with an illness, Dion Waiters is supposed to play, however I am slightly skeptical as to if he is 100%.
The Cats have been undervalued to start the season, going 4-3-1 ATS and 4-4 SU. They are a legitimate playoff contender in a much weaker than expected Eastern Conference, and against the Cavs, who are shooting a league worst 40.8% from the floor right now, even the somewhat offensively challenged Bobcats will be able to take advantage. The Bobcats have won their last two games both SU and ATS versus the Cavs, and Cleveland is now only 1-5 ATS (1-2 ATS at home this season) in their last six home games.
My Pick: Bobcats +6 ½
The NBA Odds for this one favor the Kings at -2, but I am more focused on the total, which is at 196 ½. If you look at the Kings’ early season defensive averages, things look pretty good. However the numbers are a bit misleading. Even though they currently rank 8th in the NBA in points allowed, a lot of that has to do with their last game, and the NBA as a whole to start the season. Firstly, they only allowed 86 points to the Nets, who are the biggest disappointment in the NBA. Before that game, the Kings were giving up over 100 points per game on average. Now at 98 oppg, they are 8th in points allowed. That’s how little defense is being played so far this season.
So far through 246 games this season, the over has been cashing just slightly more than the under so far through 246 games this season. The over is 128-118, and while this early season trend will soon be corrected, it seems as if both of these teams are undervalued here with this low total.
The Pistons are by no means a strong defensive team, and to start this season, they are giving up over 104 points per game. They are also scoring the ball well, but some of the reason for that is they have been getting blown out so much. They are one of the best over bets to start the season at 6-1, and the Pistons have also cashed the over in all three of their road games this season.
These two teams don’t matchup well with one another and I think that will lead to a scoring frenzy tonight in Sactown.
My Pick: Over 196 ½