Make It Rain At The All-Star Three-Point Contest

Friday, February 15, 2019 6:52 PM UTC

Friday, Feb. 15, 2019 6:52 PM UTC

The three-point contest was once the junior varsity event of All Star weekend. Everyone loved it, but the dunk contest was the best event. The three-point contest could be full of value this season. Here are our best plays and odds courtesy of Bovada sportsbook.

The Favorites

The top two favorites right now from Bovada are Stephen Curry (+200) and Buddy Hield (+400). Curry, easily the most recognizable name atop the NBA Odds to win the contest, is playing in his home town city where his dad currently works. He will undoubtedly have the crowd behind him, but his record in these contests is a bit suspect. He won in 2015 in New York, but since then has lost in every contest he has participated in.

Hield on the other hand may be the sharper play among the players with better than 5/1 odds to win it. Hield is a pure three-point shooter and he owns an impressive career 42.5% three-point percentage and he is shooting nearly 45% from three-point range this season.

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Buddy Hield a 20-points performance for the 31st time this season.

— Sean Cunningham (@SeanCunningham) 14 de fevereiro de 2019
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The Mid-Tier Options

Atop the list of players north of 5/1is last year’s champs, Devin Booker. The Suns’ super-talented guard owned last year’s contest and he could be very capable of doing it again. In the final round of last year’s contest against Klay Thompson, Booker racked up 28 points, which is a record amount of made shots in a single round of the contest.

The other Curry brother Seth comes in at +550 to win it all. It would be amazing to see him and his brother in the final round of the contest in the area they grew up. Seth is also third in the league in three-point percentage at the break, shooting a cool 46.5% from deep.

Right behind those two is the leader in three-point percentage among contest participants, Joe Harris. The little known guard from Brooklyn is having a career year in all facets of the game, but his biggest contribution has been his three-point percentage, which comes in at 47.1% at the All Star Break.

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And in a “y’all better do this or we riot” move, the NBA has named Joe Harris to the three-point contest. Well-deserved for one of the most efficient and versatile ballers in the league. ✊🏾

— Michael Grady (@Grady) 2 de fevereiro de 2019
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The Long Shots

The dip from those five guys to the next is pretty severe, with Kemba Walker coming in next at 9/1. Walker is a nice three-point shooter, but he does most of his work off the dribble. It will be interesting to see how he does in a spot-up style contest where he isn’t chucking it off a nice cross over at the top of the key.

Following Walker is Damian Lillard at 10/1. Lillard is shooting 37.3% from deep this season, but he could also be one of the dark horses in this contest, along with the next guy’s odds of Khris Middleton.

Middleton is shooting nearly 39% from deep in his career and unlike the previous two point guards, Middleton is a pure spot-up shooter.

After him is Danny Green at 12/1 and the veteran of the contest, Dirk Nowitzki, who comes in at +1500. The former champ from 2006 is long removed from his win 13 years ago in this contest, but seeing as this is probably his last year in the league, it would not surprise me to see him put on a show.

The Pick(s)

For a contest like this, picking a winner and one or two hedges is probably the way to go. In my eyes, I think there are only four or five guys with the ability to win this thing and right now my main pick is Buddy Hield. His quick release rivals only Curry in the competition, so he has a leg up on guys who are more methodical and slower with their shot.

On top of that, Hield has improved his three-point shooting every year for the last three seasons and considering Curry has the All Star game to worry about, he may overlook this contest.

However, I can’t make a pick without including Harris as well. His spot-up ability is going to surprise some people this weekend. As long as the lights aren’t too bright for him, I could see him winning too.

The Picks: Hield (+400) for 3 units, Harris (+600) for 2 units, Middleton (+1200) for 1 unit

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