NBA All Star Game Huge Total Prompts A Lean Toward The Under

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, February 14, 2016 3:53 PM GMT

Our NBA analyst provides us with a betting preview on Sunday’s total in the annual All Star Game. Don't miss his NBA picks for the game and the reasons why he likes the under.

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Free All Star Pick: Under 320
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

 

NBA All Star Game Total
The top players from each conference of the NBA convene at the All Star Game in Toronto on Sunday. The opening tip at the Air Canada Centre is slated for 8:30 PM ET. The topic of discussion in this article will be the total in today’s game. Current (10:30 AM ET) NBA All Star odds posted at The Greek have a posted total of 320.0. The opening number at Bookmaker.com was 311.5 and has rapidly climbed over the past 48 hours. At the time of this writing, Bookmaker.com indicates that 74% of bets made on this total have made on going over the number.

 

Recent Totals & Results
I’ve illustrated a chart below that dates back the 2007 NBA All Star Game, displaying both the final scores and totals. I will follow this up by discussing my general observations pertaining to the totals of this annual event.

Year

Score

Total

Result

2015   

West 163, East 158

301.0 

Over

2014

East 163, West 155

290.5

Over

2013

West 143, East 138

295.0

Under

2012

West 152, East 149

284.0

Over

2011

West 148, East 143

273.5

Over

2010

East 141, West 139

262.5

Over

2009

West 146, East 119

264.5

Over

2008

East 134, West 128

263.0

Under

2007

West 153, East 132

257.5

Over

 

Observations
Since 2007, these games have gone 7-2 over the total. In 2008, the game nearly missed going over the total of 263.0 during an Eastern Conference 134-128 win. During these previous nine All Star Classics, the contests have gone over the total by a combined 112.5 points, or an average of 12.5 points per game. It’s truly amazing when considering the lowest closing total of 257.5 in 2007, and comparing that to today’s current number of 320.0. The general public has been a huge winner in this annual event during recent years, and even sportsbooks sizable escalation of the number starting in 2011 has made little difference. It must be noted, the difference between the 2015 game total of 301.0, to its current state in 2016 of 320.0, has been the biggest one year jump in NBA All Star Game betting history.

 

Matador Defense
Attention to detail on the defensive end of the floor during NBA All Star Games has been as uncommon as a Donald Trump compliment to Hillary Clinton. The truth be told, there are many outstanding defensive players in the NBA. However, most are considered to be specialists in that area, and are deemed to be average to below average offensive players. As a result, we very seldom see those players chosen to participate in the NBA All Star Game based on their defensive prowess alone. Kobe Bryant, Michael Jordan, and Scottie Pippen were all excellent defensive players during the primes of their careers. Each of those individuals was also outstanding scorers and clutch offensive players as well. The bottom line is this. At the end of the day, this is a showcase for the most gifted and athletic offensive NBA players. It’s virtually become an unwritten rule among participants to play a matador type of defensive. The only exception has seemed to be during final minutes of 4th quarter action if the game is close, and a result is hanging in the balance.

 

Final Thoughts & Pick
I never have been, nor will I ever be, a proponent of wagering on all star games in any sport. You can certainly make a strong case that ignoring an over bet in the NBA version of this game, would be a blatant oversight, and resulted in money being left on the table. The problem with this season’s contest in that regard is the ridiculously high number the betting sites have posted. Their obvious intent is an effort to encourage bets on the under, in addition to overcompensating for their failures in past games, and the sizable disparity of money being wagered on the over compared to under thus far. I’ll have an ever so slight lean on going under the total for one of your NBA All Star picks, and would advise betting conservatively.