NBA 2017 Rookie of the Year Top Prop Picks

Joel Embiid

Thursday, May 18, 2017 4:17 PM GMT

The NBA Rookie of the Year award is set to be released soon and there are three guys that have a chance at the award according to BetOnline. Let’s check out all three and I’ll give you my thoughts on which guys deserve your bet for the award. 

Dario Saric (-130)

Because his teammate, Joel Embiid didn’t play enough minutes to qualify for the award, Dario Saric is the odds-on favorite to win it from BetOnline right now. This is for several reasons, but it’s mainly his impressive per-36 numbers and his ability to almost carry the Sixers after the All-Star Break.

Philadelphia had their eye on another top three pick after the All-Star Break. They shut down Joel Embiid, announced that Ben Simmons wouldn’t play and Saric promptly took the Sixers to a 9-11 record in the first 20 games after the All-Star Break.

During that stretch he had seven double-doubles and score 20 or more points 10 times including a 32 point and 10 rebounds game against the Bulls in March.

He consistently showed real upside and he is definitely a good pick as the favorite.

 

Malcolm Brogdon (+135)

If you think the voters will favor a player that made a better-rounded contribution to his team, your guy is Malcolm Brogdon. He was a role player and starter at times for a playoff team in the East and he usurped Matthew Dellavedova at times during the year with his strong defense and his very strong three-point shooting.

Brogdon netted over 40 percent of his three-point attempts this season and averaged double figures in scoring. While his contributions weren’t extremely flashy, his metrics present a story worthy of winning the Rookie of the Year.

He had an effective field goal percentage of 51.8% this season, much better than Saric. He had an offensive rating of 111, which is the highest of any qualified rookie for the award. Brogdon also had the highest plus-minus of any rookie not named Embiid.

While he is a solid play, I’m using him to edge out of a play on Saric.

 

Joel Embiid (+450)

Through just 30 games, Joel Embiid put up some monster numbers despite a heavy minutes cap throughout the season before he was shut down. It’s not surprising to see the Sixers limit their stellar talent, because there is no doubt that he would have been the Rookie of the Year if he played enough games.

However, even his limited action saw some impressive numbers. Not since guys like Tim Duncan, Shaquille O’Neal and Hakeem Olajuwon were rookies have we seen numbers like Embiid put up per-36 minutes this season.

If the voters ignore the former precedence and vote for Embiid anyway, it would not surprise me. However, like most writers voting on sports awards, they tend to lean more towards the rules. Along with the new rule that team broadcasters can’t vote for the awards, it’s an even longer shot than +450 than Embiid wins it.

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