Monday's Hottest Sports Picks & Tasty Trends Based on Odds Movements

Doug Upstone

Monday, March 9, 2015 3:11 PM GMT

This begins a fun week to follow the college basketball odds with all the conference tournaments. Today more will start in action and we have the line moves for those plus the NBA games with turning numbers.

Washington Wizards vs. Charlotte Hornets  7:05 ET  CSN-DC, SPSO
The Charlotte Hornets have not won six in a row since Gerald Henderson was rookie for the then Bobcats in 2010. Tonight they try and equal that mark against Washington and it has been the offense which has been carrying them in this streak. Charlotte is 26th in the NBA in scoring at 95.3 points a game, but during this winning streak is averaging 105.6 PPG and the total on this divisional affair has catapulted from 187 to 189.5. While the Hornets have been scoring, Washington has not, down to 91.2 PPG in last five, though their defense has been solid at 94.3 PPG in their past six outings. Seven of the last 10 meetings have gone UNDER and Charlotte is 10-1 UNDER home after scoring 100 points or more in two straight games the last two seasons and I’ll go against the public for NBA picks here.

NBA Pick – Play Under

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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Chicago Bulls 8:05 ET  NBA-TV
The effects of losing their starting backcourt were felt on the road as Chicago lost at Indiana and San Antonio over the weekend. Though Memphis has not been sharp of late (3-4 and 1-6 ATS), those placing sports picks have realigned the NBA odds and made the Grizzlies a larger favorite, raising them from -3 to -5.5. Memphis is certainly capable of winning and covering, yet is just 3-5 ATS in last eight roadies and has dumped six straight as favorites. While the sample is tiny, Chicago has been a lousy home wager going on three years, but last week as home underdogs they took down Washington and Oklahoma City without its two key starters.

NBA Pick – Lean Chicago

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Northeastern vs. William & Mary  7:00 ET  NBCSN
The battle is for the automatic NCAA tourney bid, which pits No.3 Northeastern against top-seeded William & Mary. Both these Colonial Conference foes shoot over 48 percent from the field, but their total is dwindling from 139 to 137. In the two previous matchups this season, this first game was one point over the closing total of 139 and second was a single digit short of 140 on the NCAA Basketball odds. While nerves could be an issue, these teams are very familiar with one another and I’ll make the call this one goes past the total into the 140’s. 

NCAA Basketball Pick – Play Over

 

Pepperdine vs. Gonzaga 9:00 ET  ESPN
Gonzaga is chasing a potential No. 1 seed for the NCAA tournament. Leading scorer Kyle Wiltjer left the game Saturday with a left hip injury following an awkward fall and did not play the final five minutes. The junior forward will be a game-time decision. Obviously his ability to play impacts the Bulldogs as any college basketball handicapper would agree, but at least for now, the money is still on the Zags, up a point to -14.5. Pepperdine handily covered two double digit spreads this season versus Gonzaga and off their 50-47 upset of San Diego, the Waves will face a Bulldogs which could be short-handed and is 0-7 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 12.5 or more point the last three seasons, so back them with your NCAA Basketball Picks.

NCAA Basketball Pick – Pepperdine covers

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Sportsbook Review Tasty Trends

NBA ATS Trend
Miami is 0-11 ATS off an upset win as an underdog this season. 

NBA Totals Trend
Minnesota is 22-7 OVER in road games having lost four of their last five games the last three seasons. 

NCAA Basketball ATS Trend
South Dakota is 10-1 ATS having won two of their last three games this season. 

NHL Money Line Trend
Arizona is 1-15 against teams averaging 29.5 or more shots on goal per game in the second half of the year this season.