Monday Quick Pick: Wall Likely Back for Wizards vs. Bucks

Jordan Sharp

Monday, November 20, 2017 5:13 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 20, 2017 5:13 PM UTC

Two teams with playoff aspirations hook up tonight in Milwaukee as the Wizards and Bucks do battle. These clubs have yet to play one another this year, and coming off a back-to-back, the big question mark is whether or not John Wall will be able to play.

Free NBA Pick: Under 207Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Wizards at Bucks

Washington lost in Toronto on Sunday afternoon and was without the services of their best player, John Wall. The former No. 1 overall pick was dealing with some swelling in his knee due to an IV injection when he was ill, but Scott Brooks mentioned this morning that he thinks Wall has a “great chance” of playing on Monday.

The Wizards were just playing it safe with Wall, but they will need him tonight against a tough defensive team in the Bucks. Milwaukee has cashed the 'under' in four of its last five games, and so far this season the Bucks are 5-3 cashing the 'under' when they play at the BMO Harris Bradley Center.

The Wizards, on the other hand, have been 'under' cashing machines as of late. They have hit below the total in eight straight games this season, and they are 6-1 cashing the under on the road. So, with a total of 207 points for this one, the logical step is to think the 'under' is the play. The sharps have lowered this number some since it opened at 208½, and with the way both teams are playing defense, it’s hard to argue with the play.

Washington is holding teams to 105 points per 100 possessions, and while the Bucks aren’t too good in that area with a defensive rating of 109.2, they get much better at home with a defensive rating of 103.9. Furthermore, their pace really slows at home. It drops to 97.7 possessions per game, and that’s not all. Washington has a better defensive rating on the road this season of 99.1, and with the Wizards's pace below 100 possessions per game on the road as well, the 'under' looks like the bet here.

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