After losing two games in one night for the first time this season; after a day off on Sunday, I’m rested and recharged to give you two winning NBA Picks. So far the season has been kind to me, but the gambling gods can change all of that in an instance. So, to not anger them, let’s keep going tonight with two more early-season NBA Picks.
Bucks vs. Pistons
The Bucks were only able to muster up 72 points this past weekend against the Bobcats, and so far this season, Milwaukee is averaging only 89 points per game. A lot of that has to do with all of the injuries they have sustained to start the season, but with Brandon Knight back, and with Ersan Ilyasova and OJ Mayo starting to play better, this team should be able to start scoring the ball with greater frequency.
However their defense has been another story. The Bucks are giving up 99 points per game this season, and they have lost their last eight games in a row SU. In those eight straight losses, the Bucks have given up right at 100 points per game on average, and tonight against Detroit, I don’t see things improving too much. The Bucks are averaging giving up over 103 points per game on the road this season.
The Pistons don’t score the ball much more at home opposed to playing away from the Palace, but tonight against a poor Bucks team, I think Detroit will hit 100 points. However their defense should cede some points to Milwaukee as well, as they are giving up about 101 points per game this season.
The over has cashed in four of the last six times these two teams have hooked up from Detroit, and the over is 12-5 in Detroit’s last 17 games overall. I’m on the over as well tonight.
NBA Pick: ‘Over’ 191
Nuggets vs. Mavs
At first I really wanted to bet the Nuggets here on the spread, as they are +5 ½ road underdogs against the Mavs tonight in Dallas. However I think the NBA Odds with the total have more value, and at 211 ½, once again I see the over as the play.
These two teams played just the other night in Denver, and the Nuggets held on for a 102-100 victory. Tonight however, I think the Mavs will be able to score some more. They aren’t in the altitude of Denver, and when playing in Dallas, the Mavs score the ball with much more frequency.
Dallas is averaging 111 points per game when playing at home so far this season, and although they may not get that much tonight against the Nuggets, they only need to have about 106. I see them being able to get that this evening.
Denver is giving up nearly 105 points per game on the road so far this season, and with little defense to speak of for Brian Shaw’s club, I see that trend continuing for the near future. The Nuggets don’t matchup well with the guards of Dallas, and that one guy named Dirk presents some major defensive issues for the Nuggets as well. Kenneth Faried or Wilson Chandler will likely be called upon to guard Dirk once again, and if that’s the case, I see a big game from Dallas.
The over has cashed in eight of the last 11 road game for the Nuggets, and I see them continuing that trend. Take the over again for your NBA picks.
NBA Pick: ‘Over’ 211 ½