Miami Heat are the NBA Pick at Detroit Tuesday on NBA TV

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, February 3, 2015 5:09 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 3, 2015 5:09 PM UTC

Each day LT Profits Sports seeks an overlay side that has a better chance of cashing than its spread, offering long term value. Here is their Side Value Play for Tuesday.


In a battle of two teams battling injuries, the underdog with one starter expect to return Tuesday night gets our betting call when those Miami Heat (21-26, 13-11 away) pay a visit to the Detroit Pistons (18-30, 8-16 home) at The Palace of Auburn Hills in Detroit, MI at 7:35 ET in a game televised nationally on NBA TV.

The point spread at Pinnacle Sports has Miami as a road underdog for this contest with the current line at +4 with odds of -106.

Two Teams with Losing Records in Playoff Hunt
In the mediocre world represented by the Eastern Conference of the NBA team, a team that is five games below .500 in the Heat is in a nice playoff position right now, as Miami is the seventh seed in the East with a two-game lead over ninth-seeded Brooklyn for a playoff spot with eighth-seeded Charlotte splitting those two teams. And the Heat have been able to maintain their position despite lately playing without Dwayne Wade and Luol Deng.

Meanwhile, the Pistons are not out of the playoff hunt either despite beginning the season 5-23 and still being 12 games under .500 currently! They are the 10th seed in the East only three games out of the eighth and final playoff spot. However, Detroit was the losing NBA pick in four straight games once losing Brandon Jennings for the season with a torn Achilles, a losing streak it just snapped by beating the Houston Rockets here at home 114-101 Saturday.

Luol Deng Expected Back
The Heat come off of an ugly 83-75 win over the Celtics in Boston on Sunday, but they were happy to take any win they can get considering how short-handed they were. Chris Bosh had his usual strong game with 18 points and seven rebounds, but he got nice help from the recent revelation Hassan Whiteside, who led the team with 20 points while adding nine rebounds to just miss another double-double as well as three blocked shots.

The great news here is that Deng is scheduled to make his return in this contest, which is certainly a welcomed development. Deng is third on the team in scoring behind Wade and Bosh while leading the club with both his 49.6 percent shooting percentage overall and his 37.6 percent three-point percentage. His return takes some pressure off of Bosh to try and carry the scoring load until Wade comes back in a couple of weeks.

Add in the unexpected development of Whiteside and the Heat may be very formidable the rest of this season and not decline as much as most people expected when LeBron James left town to return to Cleveland.

Injury to Brandon Jennings Hurts
The Pistons appeared to be dead in the water when they were sitting at 5-23, but then they made the bold move of waiving Josh Smith outright knowing that they were still on the hook for his multi-million dollar contract. Smith has the reputation of having a terrible attitude problem and many consider him to be a cancer in the clubhouse, so more than a few people saw his release as addition by subtraction.

And it is hard to argue with that logic considering that Detroit went on a 12-3 run immediately after releasing him to unbelievably get into the playoff picture. But while they are still within range, they may have a tough time making up for the loss of Jennings, who tore the Achilles in the first half of a game vs. the Bucks in Milwaukee on January 24th right after the 12-3 run. The Piston went on to lose 101-86 in the contest that began the four-game skid.

Jennings was leading the team in points per game (15.4), assists per game (6.6) and steals per game (1.1) at the time he went down, and the Pistons are currently playing natural shooting guard D.J. Augustin at the point.

Heat Better on the Road?
Also, the home vs. away splits of these two teams almost look backwards! That is because Miami actually has a significantly better record on the road, where it is over .500 at 13-11 straight up, compared to a woeful 8-15 down in South Beach! Meanwhile the Pistons are just 8-16 here at Auburn Hills.

Look for the return of Deng to spark the Heat to continued road success here, so take the points with the underdogs when Miami visits Detroit on Tuesday.

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NBA Pick: Heat +4 (-106)

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