Miami Heat Season Predictions & Total Wins Free NBA Pick

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, October 4, 2016 3:49 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 4, 2016 3:49 PM UTC

Now that Wade, and possibly Bosh are gone, this is the end of an era for Pat Riley and the franchise in South Beach. So do Head Coach Erik Spoelstra and the Heat have enough to compete in the weak Eastern Conference?  Let’s take a look at Miami’s current Roster and make a Win Totals pick on this Southeast Division side which could really surprise this coming NBA Regular Season.

 Miami Heat Best Futures Odds (as of Sep. 28)

To Win NBA Championship: +15000 (at 5Dimes)
Eastern Conference: +4000 (at SuperBook)
Southeast Division: +800 (at SuperBook)

Heat 2016 Regular Season Team Wins: 35½ (SuperBook)
Heat 2015 Open: 45½—(Record: 48-34, Over)
Heat 2014 Open: 43½—(Record: 37-45, Under)


Heat Loss of Many Big-Name Stalwarts, Almost Forced to Start Youth Movement 

Miami Heat (100.0 PF-98.4 PA, 28-13 Home in 2015) will be without four key pieces with Dwyane Wade, Chris Bosh, Luol Deng and Joe Johnson all leaving this Offseason, so Head Coach Erik Spoelstra and the Heat can’t help but be in some kind of rebuilding mode, although that’s been the feel at South Beach since King James left. But at least Miami has some nice pieces in Hassan Whiteside and Goran Dragic, although Dragic said on Media Day, “It’s not the prettiest situation around here” after it was learned Bosh’s time with Miami’s likely over with a recurring Irregular Heartbeat.



So the Heat will hope Tyler Johnson—who spent much of last season out with a Shoulder Injury—Josh Richardson (Torn MCL) and Duke product Justise Winslow can mature some and pick up the Pace for a team ranking 29th in that category. But with a shot blocker like Whiteside (NBA-leading 3.68 bpg), that half-court mentality can be understood. The NBA Futures market offers little value now on Miami, with some NBA odds rising with the Bosh news. Basketball Reference pegged the Heat—+10000 to win NBA Championship at SportsBetting which has an A in SBR’s Ratings and offers 75% Free Play Bonus —to go 46-36 and that sounds about right with so many weak teams in the perennially paltry Eastern Conference and Miami capable of winning 24-32 Home games.

 Miami Heat 2016/17 Roster

Returning: Hassan Whiteside, Goran Dragic, Udonis Haslem, Justise Winslow, Tyler Johnson, Josh Richardson, Beno Udrih, Josh McRoberts

In: Okaro White (Aris BC), Briante Weber (Grizzlies), Dion Waiters (Thunder), Luke Babbitt (Pelicans), Wayne Ellington (Nets), Stefan Jankovic, James Johnson (Raptors), Rodney McGruder (Sioux Falls Skyforce), Willie Reed (Nets), Derrick Williams (Knicks)

Out: Dwyane Wade (Bulls), Chris Bosh (Irregular Heartbeat), Luol Deng (Lakers), Joe Johnson (Jazz), Chris Andersen (Cavaliers), Shabazz Napier (Blazers), Henry Walker (NLEX), Justin Hamilton (Nets), Danny Granger, James Ennis (Grizzlies), Zoran Dragic (EA7), Andre Dawkins, Mario Chalmers, Shannon Brown, Michael Beasley (Bucks), Shawne Williams


Miami Heat Odds

Regular Season Opener: at ORL -4½ Nets at Paddy Power
34½ Wins: O/U -110 at William Hill
35½ Wins: Under -125 at Paddy Power
36½ Wins: Over -117 at Betway
MVP: Hassan Whiteside +10000 at Bovada

NBA Futures team Win Totals Pick: Heat Over 34½ at William Hill


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