Max Out Your Profit With Tuesday's NBA Picks for Player Props

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, March 31, 2015 5:18 PM GMT

Just four games on the NBA schedule Tuesday, but three have some relevance for playoff positioning in the Eastern or Western Conference. Let's take a look at player props recommendations for those three that "matter."

Pacers vs. Nets Props:
George Hill 'Over/Under' 23.5 Points + Assists

Roy Hibbert O/U 6.5 Rebounds

Brook Lopez O/U 29.5 Points + Rebounds

Joe Johnson O/U 14 Points

This game is potentially huge for both teams as Brooklyn (32-40) is currently ninth in the East, losing out on a tiebreaker with No. 8 Boston. Indiana (32-41) is a half-game behind the Nets. The winner here could hold a big tiebreaker as the teams have split two meetings and don't play again. March has easily been the best month of the season for the Pacers' starting point guard Hill. He's averaging 20.9 points and 5.1 assists in the past 10 games. The team is counting on him to score more. In a 12-point home loss to Brooklyn on March 21, Hill had 18 points and nine assists. Hibbert, meanwhile, had just six rebounds in that one. A guy who is 7-foot-2 should average more than 7.0 boards per game but that's where Hibbert is this season. Lopez has easily been the Nets' best player for a few weeks, averaging 22.4 points and 9.3 rebounds per game in the past 10. In Sunday's win over the Lakers, he dominated with 30 points and 11 boards. He also had 26 points and four rebounds in that recent win over Indiana. Is there a better center in the East right now? Johnson had 14 points in that recent win over Indiana, following it up with just 11 points combined in the next two. He had 18 on Sunday vs. L.A.

NBA Free Picks: All these totals seem a bit low so I'm leaning Over' all of them with my NBA picks.

 

Spurs vs. Heat Props:
Tim Duncan 'Over/Under' 21.5 Points + Rebounds

Tony Parker O/U 15 Points

Kawhi Leonard O/U 24.5 Points + Rebounds

Dwyane Wade O/U 28 Points + Assists

The last time San Antonio was in Miami, it was the final home game as a member of the Heat for LeBron James. That would have been Game 4 of the 2014 NBA Finals, a Spurs rout that gave San Antonio a commanding 3-1 series lead heading back to Texas. Of course the Spurs would finish out LeBron's Miami tenure in that Game 5. This one matters to both teams as the Spurs are trying to move up from the sixth seed in the West and the Heat from the No. 7 seed in the East. Presumably it will be Duncan's last game ever in Miami as he's expected to retire after this season. That Game 6 loss of the 2013 Finals there no doubt will rank as the toughest loss in Duncan's career. Be aware the San Antonio plays again Wednesday in Orlando so Coach Gregg Popovich may want to limit the minutes of Duncan, Parker and Leonard vs. the Heat. Or maybe he just sits guys in Orlando. When the Spurs beat the visiting Heat 98-85 on Feb. 6, Duncan had 10 points and 12 rebounds, Parker had 21 points and Leonard 24 points and four rebounds. Wade didn't play in that one. He's coming off a 40-point effort Sunday against Detroit and is having a huge March.

NBA Free Picks: 'Under' Duncan and Leonard, 'Over' on Parker and Wade.

 

Warriors vs. Clippers Props:
Chris Paul 'Over/Under' 29.5 Points + Assists

Blake Griffin O/U 20.5 Points

DeAndre Jordan O/U 28.5 Points + Rebounds

I previewed this game here at SBR -- the Warriors actually opened as favorites but the Clippers are now -3 in the NBA odds. It truly means nothing to the Warriors, although it doesn't appear Coach Steve Kerr will rest any key guys other than perhaps Draymond Green, who is nursing a legitimate injury. Kerr is likely to limit minutes, however, and that's probably why no player props for the Warriors as of this writing were available. The Clippers have won seven straight and Warriors nine in a row. L.A. still has the carrot of perhaps reaching the No. 2 seed behind Golden State. The home team has won 10 straight in the regular season in this series. This year, Paul is averaging 17.0 points and 9.0 assists in three games vs. the Warriors, Griffin is averaging 16.0 points in two games, and Jordan 12.3 points and 13.0 rebounds in three games.

NBA Free Picks: 'Under' on Paul as he has to chase around Steph Curry, and Jordan but 'Over' on Griffin.